753
FXUS65 KGJT 061740
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1140 AM MDT MON APR 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES PERSIST.
- PERIODIC SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEK.
PRECIPITATION WILL FAVOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
- A MORE ROBUST WEATHER SYSTEM LOOKS TO IMPACT THE REGION NEXT
WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1020 AM MDT MON APR 6 2026
WORK WEEK OUTLOOK:
HIGH PRESSURE BREAKS DOWN TODAY LEADING TO A SLIGHTLY MORE
ACTIVE WEEK OF WEATHER. THE MAIN STORY WILL BE RISING
TEMPERATURES WITH MOST LOCALES SEEING AFTERNOON HIGHS RANGING
FROM 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. ALONGSIDE THE WARMER
TEMPERATURES, A FEW WEAK WAVES IN THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL
ADVECT IN MODEST POCKETS OF MOISTURE THIS WEEK LEADING TO PERIOD
PRECIPITATION CHANCES, MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
THE FIRST PUSH OF MOISTURE ARRIVES THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. THE CAMS FAVOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT JUST TO
OUR SOUTH AND WEST, BUT OROGRAPHIC FORCING OVER THE SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS, A FEW STORMS,
AND A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW UP HIGH. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE DIVIDE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
AFTER THAT, LINGERING MOISTURE SUPPORTS LIGHT OROGRAPHIC
PRECIPITATION EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY. HOWEVER,
QPF LOOKS VERY LIGHT AFTER TUESDAY.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK:
THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLES ARE KEYING IN ON A ROBUST TROUGH MOVING
ACROSS THE WESTERN US NEXT WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE
IT IS TOO EARLY TO DIVE INTO THE DETAILS, THESE SYSTEMS
GENERALLY BRING AN INFLUX OF COOLER AIR AND WETTER WEATHER AS
THEY PASS THROUGH.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1132 AM MDT MON APR 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT MOST TERMINALS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. A PASSING DISTURBANCE TO OUR SOUTH WILL LIFT SOME MID
AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER INTO THE REGION, MOSTLY SOUTH OF
I-70. BREAKPOINT CEILINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED. KEPT VCSH IN KTEX,
AS OROGRAPHIC SHOWERS ON THE MOUNTAIN HAVE THE BEST CHANCE AT
ANY IMPACTS. A FEW GUSTY OUTFLOWS CAN'T BE RULED OUT WITH NEARBY
SHOWERS. NON ZERO PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN PRESENT FOR
THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE
LIMITED BY THE DRY CONDITIONS IN THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE. CLOUDS
WILL THIN SOME EARLY TUESDAY, BUT SOME WILL LINGER ON THE
TERRAIN ALONG THE DIVIDE BEYOND THIS PERIOD.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT
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