758
FNUS75 KGJT 221244
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR KEYSTONE FIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
644 AM MDT WED JUL 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AFTER THE CHANCE OF A LIGHT PASSING SHOWER THIS
MORNING THUNDERSTORMS FIRE AGAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT BRINGING ADDITIONAL WETTING RAINFALL.
MOISTURE LINGERS INTO THURSDAY AND THIS SHOULD ONCE AGAIN LEAD TO
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A DRIER AND WARMER TREND MOVES
IN TO END THE WEEK WITH AFTERNOON STORMS STILL POSSIBLE BUT
REDUCED IN COVERAGE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY TO PARTLY SUNNY (40-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10600 FT AGL BY PEAK HEATING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (8000 KNOT-FT) OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...45 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-50 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
(65-75 PERCENT) WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BY 1300.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
7 TO 12 MPH BY 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...BEAU STEELE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617947.0/GJT
.DELDT 07/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BJSTEELE@BLM.GOV
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