903  
FNUS75 KGJT 221816  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KEYSTONE FIRE...COLORADO IMT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
1216 PM MDT WED JUL 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 MDT ON JULY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS DECREASES TOMORROW,  
BUT ENOUGH REMNANT MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE TO INITIATE ANOTHER  
ROUND OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION. THERE MAY ALSO BE LINGERING  
SHOWERS/STORMS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING FROM A PASSING LOW PRESSURE  
SYSTEM. CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO DRY OUT AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES,  
WITH HIGH PRESSURE DRIVING WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.  
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000-35000 KNOT-FT).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (36000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...KATHRYN ABBOTT  
REQUESTED BY...LARRY LONG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617907.0/GJT  
.DELDT 07/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LAWRENCE.LONG719@GMAIL.COM  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab CO Page
The Nexlab UT Page Main Text Page