186
FNUS75 KGJT 231127
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAWMILL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
527 AM MDT THU JUL 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LINGERING MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS
TO AGAIN FORM IN THE AFTERNOON HEATING. STORMS WILL LIKE INITIATE
ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN ABOVE AND DRIFT SOUTHWARD MOVING DOWN THE
TERRAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN THOUGH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL RATES ARE STILL POSSIBLE.
WARMER AND SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS MOVE IN FOR FRIDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS BY 1300.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST BY 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL BY PEAK HEATING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (25-65 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-24000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT TERRAIN WINDS BECOMING NORTH AT 5 TO 10
MPH BY 1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL BY PEAK HEATING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN FIX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617924.1/GJT
.DELDT 07/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NICOLAS.HOTSENPILLER@STATE.CO.US,SHAWN.FIX@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page