324
FNUS75 KGJT 231656
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR P-L GULCH FIRE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1056 AM MDT THU JUL 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 MDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH
COUNTRY AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON, WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF LIGHTNING
AND BRIEF, HEAVY DOWNPOURS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS CANNOT BE RULED
OUT AS WELL. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TOMORROW LEADING TO WARMING
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER RH VALUES, ALTHOUGH ENOUGH MOISTURE LOOKS
TO REMAIN IN PLACE PREVENT CRITICAL AFTERNOON RH VALUES. WINDS
REMAIN ON THE LIGHTER SIDE AS WELL.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...45 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (4000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (29000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...KATHRYN ABBOTT
REQUESTED BY...BLM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617491.7/GJT
.DELDT 07/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MTVATZ1997@GMAIL.COM,BHUSBY@BLM.GOV
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