968
FXUS65 KGJT 080202
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
802 PM MDT FRI AUG 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH NEAR
RECORD TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. HEAT ADVISORIES
REMAIN IN EFFECT THIS WEEKEND.
- ISOLATED STORMS FAVORING THE HIGH TERRAIN ARE POSSIBLE EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH COVERAGE INCREASING BY LATE NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 800 PM MDT FRI AUG 7 2026
TEMPERATURES ARE NO LONGER REACHING HEAT ADVISORY THRESHOLDS SO
UPDATED TO LET THE HEAT ADVISORY EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. HEAT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1219 PM MDT FRI AUG 7 2026
HOT AND DRY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND:
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO OUR WEST IS KEEPING THE
WEATHER HOT AND DRY TODAY. THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE TO OUR SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT AS
IT MOVES OVERHEAD DURING THIS TRANSITION HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND
TOMORROW, WITH A DECREASE OF A FEW DEGREES FORECAST FOR SUNDAY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE DESERT VALLEY AREAS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOW 70S TONIGHT, AND THEN IN THE LOW TO MID 70S TOMORROW
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING THANKS TO INCREASED OVERNIGHT CLOUD
COVER. SO, HEAT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT THIS WEEKEND FOR
SOME DESERT VALLEY AREAS DUE TO NEAR RECORD DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES, AND ELEVATED OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES.
DESPITE THE CURRENT HOT AND DRY WEATHER, WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAIN OUT OF THE FORECAST THROUGH AT
LEAST MUCH OF NEXT WEEK DUE TO WEAKER WIND GUSTS WHILE HIGH
PRESSURE IS OVERHEAD, AND AN EVENTUAL RETURN OF MOISTURE.
HOWEVER, LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
IN SOME AREAS, PARTIALLY DUE TO WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY AND TOMORROW, WITH POOR
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES TONIGHT.
MOISTURE RETURN NEXT WEEK:
GRADUALLY THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE MORE OVER THE
SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS, WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR MOISTURE TO ADVECT
INTO THE SOUTHWEST, INCLUDING OUR REGION. CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASES ON SUNDAY WITH THE INITIAL ONSET OF
MOISTURE, BUT VERY DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS AND LIMITED FORCING
WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR RAIN TO REACH THE GROUND. EACH DAY
POPS AND QPF WILL INCREASE AND BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AS
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT INTO THE REGION AND A FEW
SHORTWAVES MOVE WITHIN THE FLOW. THERE IS STILL A LARGE AMOUNT
OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE MAGNITUDE OF THIS MOISTURE PUSH,
BUT MODELS CONTINUE TO FAVOR A MIDWEEK JUMP IN QPF.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 459 PM MDT FRI AUG 7 2026
A FEW GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH ARE ONGOING ACROSS THE REGION, BUT ARE
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. THOUGH MOST
LOCATIONS WILL SEE WINDS DIMINISH SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT, HIGHER
ELEVATION TERMINALS MAY SEE BREEZY DRAINAGE WINDS THROUGHOUT THE
NIGHT. TOMORROW, SIMILAR WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH HDN POTENTIALLY
SEEING 25-KT AFTERNOON GUSTS. FEW TO SCATTERED MID-LEVEL CLOUD
COVER DEVELOPS TOMORROW, BUT OVERALL, VFR CONDITIONS DOMINATE
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR COZ006.
UT...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR UTZ022-027.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR UTZ022-027.
UPDATE...MDA
DISCUSSION...TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page