415
FXUS65 KGJT 082347
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
547 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HEAT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT THIS WEEKEND. SOME VERY
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN.
- ISOLATED STORMS FAVORING THE HIGH TERRAIN ARE POSSIBLE EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH COVERAGE INCREASING BY LATE NEXT WEEK WITH
BETTER WETTING RAIN CHANCES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1126 AM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY THOUGH IT
WILL FLATTEN SOME OVER THE COMING DAYS. AS EXPECTED, A FEW MORE
CLOUDS ARE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO AN UPTICK IN MOISTURE
AND WEAK WAVES ALSO MOVING AROUND THE HIGH PRESSURE. BOTH THE
HRRR AND NAMNEST ARE INDICATING SOME VERY ISOLATED CONVECTION
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
SUB-CLOUD LAYERS REMAIN VERY DRY SO DON'T EXPECT MUCH, IF ANY
PRECIP, TO HIT THE GROUND. THIS WILL KEEP GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
THE MAIN CONCERN. THIS TREND OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION
CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK. AN UPTICK IS PROGGED TO OCCUR
WEDNESDAY ONWARDS AS A TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND
ALLOWS DEEPER MOISTURE TO START MOVING INTO THE REGION. PAIR
THIS WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH AND AN UPTICK IN
CONVECTION LOOKS MORE AND MORE PROBABLE. WE WILL LIKELY SEE A
RETURN TO MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS BUT THIS FAR OUT
THERE IS STILL SOME MODEL DISCREPANCIES. STAY TUNED...
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR
SO THE GOING HEAT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND
AGAIN TOMORROW. INCREASED CLOUD COVER DURING THE WEEK WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO DROP A FEW DEGREES SO DO NOT EXPECT ANY PRODUCTS
DURING THAT TIMEFRAME.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 547 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
SCATTERED LOW AND MID CLOUDS REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA
WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY. NO IMPACTS TO
TAF SITES EXPECTED AS IT REMAINS DRY ASIDE FROM OCCASIONAL GUSTY
WINDS. GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH EXPECTED AT TIMES UNTIL SUNSET WHEN
SHOWERS DISSIPATE AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN.
CLOUDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE INTO SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN
SKIES AND POTENTIAL FOR MORE ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
STORMS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN WITH LITTLE IF ANY IMPACT TO TAF
SITES, SO DID NOT MENTION IN TAFS.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ006.
UT...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR UTZ022-027.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR UTZ022-027.
DISCUSSION...TGR
AVIATION...TGJT
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