112
FXUS65 KGJT 090415
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1015 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY COOL CLOSER TO NORMAL
BY LATE NEXT WEEK.
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 933 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
THE HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN CENTERED OVERHEAD THE PAST FEW DAYS
IS STARTING TO FLATTEN OUT AND NUDGE TO OUR SOUTH. THIS PUTS US IN
WESTERLY FLOW, WHICH HAPPENS TO BE WHERE THE MOISTURE IS RESIDING.
THIS UPTICK IN MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS
ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW AND FOLLOWING DAYS. THIS INITIAL MOISTURE
WILL BE MAINLY IN THE MIDLEVELS LEAVING THE LOWER LEVELS RATHER DRY
STILL. THIS WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR MEASURABLE RAINFALL AND
INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS UPWARDS OF 45 MPH OR
HIGHER. WITH THE LACK OF FORCING SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN BEFORE MOVING OVER THE VALLEYS. COVERAGE LOOKS TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE EACH DAY EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT THE BETTER CHANCES APPEAR
TO BE MID TO LATE WEEK. MODELS ARE HINTING AT A FEW TROUGHS IN THE
REGION AND SLIGHTLY DEEPER MOSITURE. WITH THE HIGH NUDGING SOUTH
ALONG WITH THE INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND CLOUDS TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO START COOLING EACH DAY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 547 PM MDT SAT AUG 8 2026
SCATTERED LOW AND MID CLOUDS REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA
WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY. NO IMPACTS TO
TAF SITES EXPECTED AS IT REMAINS DRY ASIDE FROM OCCASIONAL GUSTY
WINDS. GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH EXPECTED AT TIMES UNTIL SUNSET WHEN
SHOWERS DISSIPATE AND WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN.
CLOUDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE INTO SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN
SKIES AND POTENTIAL FOR MORE ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
STORMS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN WITH LITTLE IF ANY IMPACT TO TAF
SITES, SO DID NOT MENTION IN TAFS.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT
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