687
FXUS65 KGJT 091821
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1221 PM MDT SUN AUG 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- AVAILABLE MOISTURE INCREASES THROUGH THE WEEK WITH AN UPTICK
IN CONVECTION AND PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ONWARDS.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY COOL CLOSER TO NORMAL
BY LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1139 AM MDT SUN AUG 9 2026
PLENTY OF MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE STREAMING ACROSS THE AREA
AT THE MOMENT AS JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE HAS MANAGED TO WORK
UNDERNEATH THE HIGH PRESSURE. MODELS ARE INDICATING A WEAK
SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND THE HIGH, MOVING ACROSS THE CWA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WHICH WOULD EXPLAIN THE CONVECTION THAT
MODELS ARE INDICATING. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE ALREADY BEEN
NOTED ALONG THE FRONT RANGE AND SW WYOMING SO IT'S ONLY A
MATTER OF TIME BEFORE CONVECTION FIRES FOR US AS WELL. DESPITE
THE CLOUDS, MOISTURE DOES REMAIN RELATIVELY LIMITED TODAY BUT AN
INCREASE WILL OCCUR LATER THIS EVENING AND FOR THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. IN FACT, WE'LL STAY A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR WITH A NOTICEABLE INCREASE FROM WEDNESDAY ONWARDS. THIS
IS CORROBORATED BY CAMS HIGHLIGHTING SOME ISOLATED TO LOW END
SCATTERED CONVECTION THROUGH TUESDAY WITH MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND STORMS WEDNESDAY ONWARDS. UNTIL WEDNESDAY, LOOK FOR
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AS THE MAIN CONCERN. AFTER THAT, HEAVY RAIN,
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY ALL MAKE A RETURN THOUGH STORM MOTION
AND SPEED WILL PLAY AN IMPORTANT ROLE WITH REGARDS TO HEAVY
RAIN. FOR OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS, PLEASE PAY ATTENTION TO THE
LATEST FORECASTS TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE MORE NORMAL AUGUST VALUES,
POSSIBLY DROPPING TO BELOW NORMAL TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK
THANKS TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND PRECIP.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1139 AM MDT SUN AUG 9 2026
HAZY SKIES WILL CONTINUE THANKS TO WILDFIRES ACROSS THE REGION
BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY RESTRICTIONS TO VIS. MID TO HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS WILL STREAM ACROSS THE AREA KEEPING VFR CONDITIONS IN
PLACE. AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS EXPECTED BUT DO NOT ANTICIPATE
ANY AIRFIELDS BEING AFFECTED TO KEPT OUT ANY MENTION IN TAFS. A
FEW HIGHER GUSTS OF AROUND 20 TO 25KTS MAY ALSO OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TGR
AVIATION...TGJT
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