235
FNUS75 KGJT 112145
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR FERRIS FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
345 PM MDT TUE AUG 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NEARBY SHOWERS ON THE TERRAIN COULD PRODUCE OUTFLOW WINDS THIS EVENING,
BUT WETTING RAINS ARE UNLIKELY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
NOT EXPECTED. WETTING RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR SOME STRONGER SHOWERS TO DEVELOP AND CREATE LOCAL FLASH FLOODING
PROBLEMS. THIS THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY DUE TO PERSISTENT
MONSOONAL MOISTURE REMAINING ANCHORED OVER THE REGION.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT AT 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON AT 10-20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...45 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.
FORECASTER...LUCAS BOYER
REQUESTED BY...JOE MULLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618419.13/GJT
.DELDT 08/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TREVOR_WILLIAMS@NPS.GOV,JMULLER@BLM.GOV
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