336
FNUS75 KGJT 112212
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAT MOUNTAIN...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
412 PM MDT TUE AUG 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST TO
EAST ACROSS THE FIRE THIS EVENING. WETTING RAINS ARE UNLIKELY.
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL REMAIN A CONCERN UNTIL THESE SHOWERS
DECAY LATE THIS EVENING. INCREASED MOISTURE ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF WETTING RAINS AND THE
THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. STRONG SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE VERY LOCALIZED. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (4000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10-15
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-14000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON AT 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...55 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...LUCAS BOYER
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619342.3/GJT
.DELDT 08/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.DAVIDSON@USDA.GOV,ETHANESUNDER4@GMAIL.COM,COGJC@FIRENET.GOV
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