790
FNUS75 KGJT 121204
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL GULCH...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
604 AM MDT WED AUG 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD, WITH THE GREATEST CHANCES OCCURRING DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NON-DIURNAL OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS POTENTIALLY IN EXCESS OF 35
MPH, PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL, AND LIGHTNING. HEAVY RAINFALL
COULD CREATE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS.
STRONGER WIND GUSTS ARE FORECAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (39000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1800
THEN BRIEFLY INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE
MIDAFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...45 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000-26000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. PEAK GUSTS NEAR OR
ABOVE 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (27000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...55 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...GILLIAN FELTON
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619495.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DEVIN.HEALY@VERMONT.GOV,COGJC@FIRENET.GOV
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