898
FNUS75 KGJT 121253
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAT MOUNTAIN...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
653 AM MDT WED AUG 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING MUCH OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD, WITH THE GREATEST CHANCES TOMORROW AND FRIDAY.
WETTING RAIN IS LIKELY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY CONCERNS
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NON-DIURNAL OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS
POTENTIALLY IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH, PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL, AND
LIGHTNING. HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CREATE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING
AND DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS. SLIGHTLY STRONGER WIND GUSTS ARE
FORECAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. PEAK GUSTS NEAR OR
JUST ABOVE 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL BY THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...45 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO FAIR IN THE LATE AFTERNOON THEN
DECREASING TO POOR (4000-13000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO FAIR AROUND 1800 THEN BRIEFLY
INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE MIDAFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL DURING THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...55 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...GILLIAN FELTON
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619342.4/GJT
.DELDT 08/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ETHANESUNDER4@GMAIL.COM,COGJC@FIRENET.GOV,MICHAEL.DAVIDSON@USDA.GOV
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