778
FNUS75 KGJT 122123
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR BABYLON FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
323 PM MDT WED AUG 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY (>60%) THIS EVENING, BECOMING MORE SCATTERED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THREATS FROM THESE STORMS ARE LIGHTNING,
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND OUTFLOW GUSTS TO 35 MPH. OTHERWISE,
LOOK FOR GENERALLY LIGHT TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS, DOWN SLOPE
OVERNIGHT AND UPSLOPE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (6000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-61.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (5000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...DAVID BYERS
REQUESTED BY...EMILY OWENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619564.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL APRIL.GROOVER@USDA.GOV,VICTORIA_PAYNE@FIRENET.GOV,EMILY.OWENS@USDA.GOV,ANTHONY_COLLINS@FIRENET.GOV
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