480
FNUS75 KGJT 122239
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR FERRIS FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
439 PM MDT WED AUG 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAVE MOVED INTO THE REGION, AND WILL
STAY WITH US THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL BRING A
DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FIRE LOCATION, WITH
CHANCES MAXIMIZED IN THE AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND HEAVY RAIN. BURN SCAR
FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE. OUTSIDE OF THE INFLUENCE
OF STORMS, CONDITIONS WILL BE COOLER AND MOISTURE. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400,
THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0300.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
BY 2400. GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE UNTIL 2000.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL BY 2100.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS
8-12 MPH BY 1000. GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL
1200, THEN GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL BY 1500.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-12 MPH DECREASING TO 4-8 MPH
BY 2100. SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY 2400. GUSTS
TO AROUND 25 MPH POSSIBLE UNTIL 2100. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL BY 2100.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...BRIANNA BEALO
REQUESTED BY...JOE MULLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618419.14/GJT
.DELDT 08/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TREVOR_WILLIAMS@NPS.GOV,JMULLER@BLM.GOV
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