635
FNUS75 KGJT 131145
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL GULCH...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
545 AM MDT THU AUG 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND FRIDAY, WITH THE
GREATEST CHANCES OCCURRING TODAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF
WETTING RAIN WITH THIS ACTIVITY. PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NON-DIURNAL OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS POTENTIALLY IN
EXCESS OF 30 MPH, PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL, AND LIGHTNING. HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD CREATE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOW
CONCERNS. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS NEAR OR
JUST ABOVE 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (18000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 16 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...55 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING, THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (5000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS NEAR OR
JUST ABOVE 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (38000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE
AFTERNOON THEN BRIEFLY INCREASING TO VERY GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...GILLIAN FELTON
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619593.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DEVIN.HEALY@VERMONT.GOV,COGJC@FIRENET.GOV
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