023
FNUS75 KGJT 131247
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR RAT MOUNTAIN...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
647 AM MDT THU AUG 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY (75 PERCENT CHANCE)
AND TOMORROW (65 PERCENT CHANCE). WETTING RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH
THIS ACTIVITY. THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NON-DIURNAL OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS POTENTIALLY IN EXCESS OF 30
MPH, PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL, AND LIGHTNING. HEAVY RAINFALL
COULD CREATE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOW CONCERNS.
DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN THIS WEEKEND, BUT PRECIPITATION IS STILL
POSSIBLE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BRIEFLY INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...55 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING, THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (4000-29000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR THEN BRIEFLY INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...55 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...GILLIAN FELTON
REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619342.6/GJT
.DELDT 08/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.DAVIDSON@USDA.GOV,ETHANESUNDER4@GMAIL.COM,COGJC@FIRENET.GOV
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