286
FNUS75 KGJT 232319
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR SWISS ROLL WILDFIRE...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
519 PM MDT WED SEP 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD WITH MORE OF A STEADY
LIGHT TO MODERATE AT TIMES RAINFALL WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING WITH PERSISTENT CLOUD
COVER. THAT SHOULD HELP KEEP WINDS DOWN AS WELL. A DISTURBANCE
LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON, WHICH COULD GENERATE SOME
THUNDERSTORMS AND POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ON TOP OF ALREADY
SATURATED SOILS.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000-7000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OR LESS
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
8 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20000-23000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-8000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL OR LESS
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (23000-30000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...MATT ALEKSA
REQUESTED BY...CAMERON CASTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621670.24/GJT
.DELDT 09/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL THADMCKAIN@GMAIL.COM,CCASTLE@ELKCREEKFIRE.ORG
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