240
FXUS65 KGJT 030513
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1113 PM MDT FRI OCT 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS HIGHLIGHT THE FORECAST
THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
- ISOLATED TERRAIN-BASED SHOWERS ACROSS THE SAN JUANS ARE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR
RAINFALL WILL BE TUESDAY, BUT PROBABILITIES ARE STILL BELOW
40%.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 940 PM MDT FRI OCT 2 2026
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND:
WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST, WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION.
A MILD BOOST IN MOISTURE SUNDAY AFTERNOON COULD LEAD TO
ISOLATED CONVECTION OVER THE SAN JUANS, BUT WITHOUT MUCH ELSE
DRIVING ACTIVE WEATHER, THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE REGION SHOULD
ANTICIPATE A DRY WEEKEND.
WORK WEEK OUTLOOK:
LOOKING AHEAD TO NEXT WEEK, HIGH PRESSURE BREAKS DOWN LATE
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ADVECTS THROUGH THE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. THIS COULD AGAIN PROMPT TERRAIN-BASED
SHOWERS, BUT WITH DRY SURFACE LEVELS IN PLACE, MEASURABLE
RAINFALL COULD BE HARD TO COME BY. BEYOND THIS WEAK DISTURBANCE,
HIGH PRESSURE AND WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS REMAIN THE NAME OF
THE GAME THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1112 PM MDT FRI OCT 2 2026
HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE THROUGH OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH NO
IMPACT TO TAFS LEAVING VFR CONDITIONS IN PLACE.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BW/TGJT
AVIATION...TGJT
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