119
FXUS65 KGJT 050017
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
617 PM MDT SUN OCT 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- MILD, DRY CONDITIONS HIGHLIGHT THE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEK
WITH TEMPERATURES 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
- ISOLATED LIGHT TERRAIN-BASED SHOWERS ACROSS THE SAN JUANS ARE
POSSIBLE DAILY WITH TUESDAY HAVING THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR
RAINFALL.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1026 AM MDT SUN OCT 4 2026
WARM AND DRY WITH ISOLATED MOUNTAIN STORMS THROUGH TOMORROW:
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA AND WILL
REMAIN CENTERED THERE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. TOMORROW THE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BREAK DOWN AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROPAGATES
ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST, MOVING ACROSS OUR AREA ON
TUESDAY. GENERALLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
AND TOMORROW WHILE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ALOFT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
WITH THE MOST ANOMALOUS TEMPERATURES OCCURRING IN THE NORTHERN
HALF OF THE CWA. LINGERING MOISTURE CIRCULATING WITHIN THE AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON CONVECTION
OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN, PRIMARILY OVER THE SAN JUANS.
PATTERN CHANGE ON TUESDAY:
ON TUESDAY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA,
PROVIDING SUPPORT FOR INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES, MOSTLY
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HOWEVER, FORCING AND MOISTURE STILL DO
NOT LOOK SUBSTANTIAL ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL.
ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES AND AFTERNOON MOUNTAIN
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST EACH DAY THOUGH THE END OF THE
WORKWEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 559 PM MDT SUN OCT 4 2026
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND BEYOND WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWERS MAY OCCUR
VICINITY OF KGUC UNTIL 02Z AND AFTER 20Z FROM NEAR KASE SOUTH
TO THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS WITH POSSIBLE STORMS VICINITY OF KGUC
AGAIN.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...GF
AVIATION...DB
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page