409
FNUS75 KGJT 142037
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK PILES...EAGLE VALLEY WILDLAND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
237 PM MDT WED OCT 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING EAST THROUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY,
BRINGING CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW TO THE BURN LOCATION IN THE MORNING, WITH
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO HALF AN INCH POSSIBLE. THIS SYSTEM WILL HELP PROMOTE
DEEPER MIXING AND STRONGER WINDS, LEADING TO FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL
THROUGH THE DAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON FRIDAY, KEEPING WINDS LIGHT
AND PROMOTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VALLEY INVERSIONS, BOTH OF WHICH WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL VALUES. HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE
THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT)BY 1400. SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1000.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
BY 1200, AND TO TO THE NORTHEAST BY 1500. GUSTS
TO AROUND 20 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000-34000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR
BY 1200, AND TO GOOD BY 1500. DECREASING BACK
TO FAIR AFTER 1600, AND TO POOR (11000-33000
KNOT-FT) BY 1700.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 17 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-26.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000-11000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
BY 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000-20000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL BY 1400.
DECREASING BACK TO 300 FT AGL BY 1800.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...BRIANNA BEALO
REQUESTED BY...BEAR OPITZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623790.0/GJT
.DELDT 10/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BOPITZ@EAGLERIVERFIRE.ORG
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