544  
FNUS53 KGRR 151849  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
249 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026  
   
..STRONG FALL STORM TO IMPACT THE STATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WET, WINDY AND RAINY SYSTEM WILL WORK THROUGH THE STATE TONIGHT AND  
FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE  
IN MANY AREAS. WIND GUSTS MAY REACH 40 MPH OVER LAND AND NEAR 50 MPH  
RIGHT ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORE. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE  
POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER FAR SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND IN MOST AREAS  
ON FRIDAY.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-160815-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
249 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 5  
AM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 PM  
UNTIL 2 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 5 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
AROUND 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....220-270 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.42-0.64 IN.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
UNTIL 8 AM, THEN RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 5 PM, THEN  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 31 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1360 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.25 IN.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 9 PM, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT UNTIL EARLY MORNING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.  
24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 95-100  
PERCENT INLAND.  
 
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
32 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
3000-3500 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....770-1120 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH AND  
GUSTY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST  
AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....350-670 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ040-046-160815-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
249 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 5  
AM, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....180-220 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.40-0.55 IN.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....590 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1250 (EXCELLENT) IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 3 AM, THEN  
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
UNTIL 11 PM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27.  
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH IN  
THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1060 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD) AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....330-770 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-160815-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
249 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2  
AM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 PM  
UNTIL 2 AM, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST AROUND 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO  
24 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-460 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.57 IN.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM, THEN RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 5  
PM, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 31 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....680 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1340 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.17 IN.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
31 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....660-1110 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....280-530 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-160815-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
249 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2  
AM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 PM  
UNTIL 2 AM, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS  
UP TO 22 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.32-0.50 IN.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 11 AM, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 2 PM, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 29 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....560 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1230 (EXCELLENT) IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 9 PM, THEN  
MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 8 PM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN  
THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....560-850 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....270-670 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-160815-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
249 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2  
AM. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 PM  
UNTIL 2 AM, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......NEAR 100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS  
UP TO 27 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-480 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.46 IN.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
UNTIL 2 PM, THEN RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 5 PM, THEN  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 29 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-850 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.12 IN.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 9 PM, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 8 PM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN  
THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-740 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....360-470 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO  
14 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS  
BECOMING WEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40.    
WEDNESDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
 
 
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