160  
FNUS72 KGSP 221016  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HICKORY FLAT 4...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
516 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TODAY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS DRY AS YESTERDAY BUT RH STILL  
COULD DIP BELOW 30 PERCENT UNDER MILDER TEMPERATURES. BETTER SMOKE  
DISPERSION IS EXPECTED THAN ON FRIDAY. MIXING COULD DEEPEN A LITTLE  
LATER THAN THE USUAL AFTERNOON PEAK. WINDS WILL PREVAIL FROM THE  
SOUTHWEST FROM LATE MORNING THRU AFTERNOON. SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER  
BUT SIMILARLY DRY, BUT ALSO WITH POORER SMOKE DISPERSION, OWING TO  
LIGHTER WINDS AND SOMEWHAT LESS MIXING.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........MOST LIKELY AROUND 30 PERCENT, PERHAPS AS  
LOW AS 25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SETTING UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH BY  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INITIALLY POOR, BECOMING EXCELLENT (68100 KNOT-FT)  
BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 90 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CEILING (FT)........ALL CLOUDS ABOVE 20000.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....UNLIMITED.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...28.55.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........24 37 37 45 50 44 37 44 43  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............33 38 41 44 46 48 49 49 47  
DEWPOINT........19 20 20 20 19 19 19 20 20  
RH..............57 48 41 37 33 32 31 31 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE S S SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 9 13 15 15 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.4 2.1 3.0 3.9 4.5 4.9 5.2 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E S SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 8 10 13 14 14 15 13  
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............8 8 22 39 59 73 78 90 64  
VRATE KT-FT/10005 6 15 27 43 54 59 68 47  
CEILING (HFT)...250 250 250 250 250 240 240 200 210  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...870 870 868 866 863 861 858 855 856  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......LIKELY DECOUPLING, 300 FT AGL OR LESS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7 TO  
8 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................3 TO 4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CEILING (FT)........MAINLY UNLIMITED BUT WITH ALL CLOUDS  
ABOVE 16000 FT.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....UNLIMITED.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...28.49.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........29 26 19 15 6 3 1 2 3 5 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............45 41 38 36 35 33 32 31 31 31 30 29  
DEWPOINT........20 21 21 21 21 21 21 22 22 22 22 22  
RH..............38 44 50 53 58 60 64 67 68 69 72 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 8  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4  
VRATE KT-FT/10004 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
CEILING (HFT)...160 160 250 250 250 250 250 250 230 210 200 210  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...856 856 856 856 856 855 854 853 852 851 849 850  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO  
7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR (21600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................5 TO 30.  
STABILITY CLASS.....1.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CEILING (FT)........GENERALLY UNLIMITED.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....UNLIMITED.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...28.4.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 6 12 17 24  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............29 29 30 37 43 47 50 53 53 54 55 52  
DEWPOINT........21 22 22 24 26 26 26 27 27 28 28 29  
RH..............73 74 71 58 50 44 39 36 36 36 36 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N NE NE E SE S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 7 7 6 6 7 8 8 8 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 2.1 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.5 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N NW SW W W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 6  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2  
ADI.............7 7 6 5 12 15 22 25 25 30 30 17  
VRATE KT-FT/10002 2 2 4 8 10 16 18 18 22 21 12  
CEILING (HFT)...230 250 350 350 350 300 300 300 300 270 270 270  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...850 850 851 852 853 850 848 845 844 842 840 840  
 
 
FORECASTER...JAKE WIMBERLEY  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN GREEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2503452.0/GSP  
.DELDT 02/22/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab SC Page
The Nexlab NC Page
The Nexlab GA Page
Main Text Page