180  
FNUS72 KGSP 012017  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAOE LEAD FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
417 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 2.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ACTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY WITH  
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. COVERAGE OF SHOWERS  
AND STORMS BEGINS TO DECREASE ON SUNDAY.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4718 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (84013 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 104 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....1.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........6000 DECREASING TO 5000 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN INCREASING TO 9000 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....9.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...27.33.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........39 35 31 34 33 41 44 44 49 55  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 50 50  
TEMP............58 61 64 70 73 74 76 76 76 76  
DEWPOINT........57 58 59 59 58 58 57 57 58 58  
RH..............98 92 83 69 61 57 51 53 54 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 12 13 14 15 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.4 4.8 5.1 5.2 5.3 4.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW W W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 12 13 14 15 16 16 15 13  
LVORI...........8 5 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............8 18 38 57 76 89 103 104 90 63  
VRATE MPH-FT/10005 14 29 45 61 71 83 84 79 53  
CEILING (HFT)...80 100 80 60 60 60 50 60 90 90  
VISIBILITY (SM).9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...738 738 738 739 738 737 736 735 734 733  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...52 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (54551 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (5178 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................65 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........10000 DECREASING TO 4500.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...27.28.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........57 54 55 46 55 55 64 66 68 67 67 66  
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%).50 50 40 50 30 20 20 20 30 30 30 40  
TEMP............73 71 67 65 62 61 60 59 58 58 58 57  
DEWPOINT........58 58 59 57 57 57 57 57 56 57 57 57  
RH..............59 64 75 76 83 88 91 93 94 95 96 99  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S SW S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12 10 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 2.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 9 10 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 10  
LVORI...........1 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 9  
ADI.............65 6 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5  
VRATE MPH-FT/100055 26 7 6 7 6 5 5 5 6 6 6  
CEILING (HFT)...100 100 100 60 60 60 60 70 80 70 60 45  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...732 731 730 730 731 731 730 729 728 728 728 728  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...41 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 24 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7941 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (62492 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 77 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.66 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........4500 INCREASING TO 8000 LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN DECREASING TO 4000 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 1700 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....MISSING.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...27.18.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........70 74 78 73 69 64 68 72 76 79 82 85  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 20 20 20 30 30 30 40 40 40 30  
TEMP............57 57 56 59 63 66 67 68 70 68 68 67  
DEWPOINT........57 57 56 58 59 60 59 59 58 58 58 58  
RH..............99 99 100 95 87 80 76 72 66 70 71 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 15 17 20 20 21 21 21 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 17 21 23 24 23 22 21 18 17  
LVORI...........9 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 1 3 3 3  
ADI.............5 13 17 33 52 77 70 68 64 56 47 39  
VRATE MPH-FT/10008 10 13 26 43 61 62 61 57 48 39 31  
CEILING (HFT)...45 45 60 60 60 80 45 40 17 17 17 17  
VISIBILITY (SM).  
SFC PRES (IN)...728 728 728 727 727 726 725 725 724 722 720 718  
 

 
FORECASTER...THOMAS WINESETT  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL WILLIAMS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2510797.13/GSP  
.DELDT 05/01/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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