794  
FNUS72 KGSP 022054  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HAOE LEAD FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
454 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND SATURDAY AHEAD OF A SLOWLY  
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE AHEAD OF  
THE FRONT, FALLING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL SUNDAY AND MONDAY. UNSETTLED  
PATTERN POSSIBLE BY MIDWEEK.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...77 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7020 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (59039 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 63 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.53 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........3000 INCREASING TO 3500 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1700 LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1200 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....5.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...27.16.  
 
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........82 79 85 87 88 86 91 87 86 90  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%).40 40 40 50 60 70 80 60 40 30  
TEMP............57 59 61 65 66 66 67 66 65 64  
DEWPOINT........56 57 57 58 58 58 58 58 58 57  
RH..............94 93 87 78 76 75 73 75 77 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 17 20 22 23 24 25 24 23 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.5 2.3 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.2 2.4 2.1 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 17 20 18 17 16 20 20 18  
LVORI...........6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............9 27 47 63 56 49 42 54 50 45  
VRATE MPH-FT/10007 21 39 59 50 43 35 46 42 37  
CEILING (HFT)...30 40 60 60 45 35 25 21 17 12  
VISIBILITY (SM).6 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 5  
SFC PRES (IN)...725 725 724 724 722 720 718 717 716 716  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7  
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN DECREASING  
TO 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (36482 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2992 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................45 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.60 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........1000 DECREASING TO 100 LATE IN THE EVENING,  
THEN INCREASING TO 800 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....5 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 10 OVERNIGHT.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...27.14.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........89 92 93 94 87 83 82 80 79 71 63 55  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............63 61 60 59 57 57 56 54 53 53 52 51  
DEWPOINT........56 56 55 55 55 54 53 53 52 52 51 51  
RH..............78 83 85 86 91 90 91 93 95 96 97 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 16 15 13 12 12 10 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 13 14 10 8 7 7 8 7 6 5  
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 9  
ADI.............45 10 8 6 5 4 3 3 4 3 3 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/100036 21 14 9 7 5 4 5 6 5 4 3  
CEILING (HFT)...12 12 11 10 10 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0  
VISIBILITY (SM).5 5 6 9 9 3 3 3 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...715 714 714 715 716 718 718 717 717 716 716 715  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO  
13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3452 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (69627 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 86 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........800 INCREASING TO 3000.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...27.16.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........53 51 49 42 34 27 24 20 17 17 17 17  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............51 51 50 53 57 61 63 65 67 67 67 66  
DEWPOINT........51 50 50 50 50 51 49 48 47 46 46 46  
RH..............99 98 99 90 79 70 61 54 47 48 47 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 12 14 15 16 17 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.1 4.8 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 13  
LVORI...........10 9 8 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............2 5 7 15 26 40 53 66 73 84 86 83  
VRATE MPH-FT/10003 4 6 11 20 31 42 53 64 68 70 67  
CEILING (HFT)...8.0 8.0 12 12 12 35 35 35 35 35 35 30  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...716 717 719 720 720 721 721 721 720 720 721 721  
 
 
FORECASTER...JEFF TAYLOR  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL WILLIAMS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2510797.13/GSP  
.DELDT 05/02/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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