787  
FNUS72 KGSP 210633  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SAWHEAD...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
133 AM EST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY FOR THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA  
WITH RH VALUES DIPPING INTO THE 25-30% RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. NO RAIN  
IS FORECASTED THROUGH THE EVENING, BEFORE RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING AND KEEP IT AS  
RAIN. WINDS START OFF NORTH AND QUICKLY VEER MORE SOUTHERLY AFTER  
12PM. GUSTS ARE LIGHT 5-10MPH.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10127 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (33260 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................13 TO 37.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........23000 DECREASING TO 13600 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...28.57.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........43 39 38 41 41 42 56 63  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............37 41 44 46 48 49 49 48  
DEWPOINT........16 14 15 15 16 17 17 18  
RH..............42 33 30 28 27 27 27 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 9 12 12 12 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.3 2.5 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 10 12 12 10 8  
LVORI...........2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............13 20 26 37 36 36 36 13  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.10 16 20 30 33 33 29 10  
CEILING (HFT)...250 250 249 250 246 240 230 136  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...872 870 868 865 862 860 858 857  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6  
TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3452 MPH-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................2 TO 4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........19700 DECREASING TO 2200.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....9.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...28.52.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........67 75 71 80 80 85 72 79 77 75 73 64  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 41 39 38 38 38 38 39 38 36 36 36  
DEWPOINT........19 20 20 21 22 23 24 25 29 30 32 34  
RH..............36 42 45 49 52 53 55 59 69 78 84 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW W NW W W W NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 7 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 8  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 5 6  
ADI.............2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 3 4 4 4 5 6 7 6 7 7 6  
CEILING (HFT)...197 93 80 75 63 53 43 37 35 33 28 22  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9  
SFC PRES (IN)...857 857 857 856 856 856 855 855 854 853 852 852  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5409 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (23823 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................5 TO 29.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........2200 INCREASING TO 30000 IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....8 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...28.49.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 48 56 65 75 70 65 59 54 49 44 53  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............36 35 37 42 46 49 52 54 55 55 55 53  
DEWPOINT........35 35 37 39 40 41 41 41 41 40 40 41  
RH..............98 100 100 89 81 75 66 61 59 58 58 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW W W W W W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.4 3.3 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W W NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 7 6 5 5 6 7 7 7 6 5  
LVORI...........9 8 9 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 3  
ADI.............5 8 6 7 8 10 17 24 27 29 23 15  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 6 6 6 6 8 13 19 22 24 19 12  
CEILING (HFT)...22 22 22 22 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300  
VISIBILITY (SM).8 8  
SFC PRES (IN)...852 852 853 855 856 856 854 853 851 850 849 849  
 
 
FORECASTER...CP  
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY BENTLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600694.0/GSP  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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