591
FNUS72 KGSP 110825
FWSGSP
SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR CREEK PHASE 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
325 AM EST WED FEB 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT RAIN ACCOMPANYING FRONTAL PASSAGE TODAY, WITH OVERALL CHANCE
OF RAIN AROUND 70 PERCENT. GUSTY WINDS MAINLY PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. MIXING AND SLIGHT DRYING SHOULD OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT.
DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN TONIGHT, AND THUS RH IS
EXPECTED TO BE LOWER THURSDAY COMPARED TO TODAY, THOUGH
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER AT THAT TIME.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THROUGH MIDDAY,
WITH CLOUDS THEN DECREASING. LIGHT RAIN MAY HAVE
OCCURRED AT THE SITE PRIOR TO 7 AM, AND IS LIKELY
TO RECUR THROUGH 9 AM. CHANCES THEN DIMINISH,
WITH RAIN ENDING BY NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
BEHIND THE FRONT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16
TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INITIALLY POOR, IMPROVING 10 AM TO NOON, THEN
EXCELLENT (80215 MPH-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................15 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 95 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........MOST LIKELY 0.03-0.05 INCH. 1 IN 3 CHANCE
OF EXCEEDING 0.10 INCH.
CEILING (FT)........LIKELY BELOW 3000 FT AT TIMES THIS MORNING, WITH
BASES RISING AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND
CEILINGS BECOMING UNLIMITED.
VISIBILITY (SM).....AS LOW AS 3 MILES IN RAIN.
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...28.49.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........87 82 72 75 81 69 40 32 20 9 7
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55 55 57 60 62 63 65 65 65 64 60
DEWPOINT........53 53 54 54 52 48 44 38 33 28 26
RH..............91 92 89 79 69 59 46 37 30 25 27
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.22 20 21 20 18 17 18 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.2 4.4 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 14 17 18 16 18 17 18 18 17
LVORI...........4 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............16 15 19 31 39 50 80 81 91 95 63
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 10 16 30 44 46 66 68 77 80 51
CEILING (HFT)...32 32 24 24 47 72 80 108 148 208 208
VISIBILITY (SM).9 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
SFC PRES (IN)...849 849 850 850 850 850 849 849 849 849 851
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14846 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2186 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 TO 6.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CEILING (FT)........UNLIMITED.
VISIBILITY (SM).....UNLIMITED.
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...28.53.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........13 12 10 4 3 3 11 15 16 24 14 15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............56 52 49 46 44 42 40 39 37 36 35 34
DEWPOINT........25 24 24 23 22 22 22 21 21 21 20 20
RH..............30 34 37 39 42 45 47 49 52 53 54 55
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 14 13 13 13 12 10 10 10 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 10 13 10 12 10 10 9 9 8 7 7
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
ADI.............6 5 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.15 5 6 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2
CEILING (HFT)...208 182 182 159 148 148 138 138 138 138 138 138
VISIBILITY (SM).9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
SFC PRES (IN)...853 855 857 858 860 860 860 860 860 860 860 861
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INITIALLY POOR, BECOMING GOOD (34986 MPH-FT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................6 TO 41.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CEILING (FT)........UNLIMITED.
VISIBILITY (SM).....UNLIMITED.
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...28.56.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........21 26 13 21 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............34 33 34 39 46 50 54 56 58 59 58 57
DEWPOINT........19 19 19 20 20 20 19 18 17 17 17 18
RH..............54 54 54 45 35 29 25 22 20 19 20 22
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N NW W SW SW W W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.2 3.9 4.3 4.2 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
ADI.............6 6 7 8 12 18 22 27 32 41 40 31
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 2 3 6 9 14 17 22 27 35 34 25
CEILING (HFT)...138 138 138 127 127 127 138 138 138 138 138 127
VISIBILITY (SM).9 9
SFC PRES (IN)...863 864 865 865 866 865 863 861 859 857 856 857
FORECASTER...JCW
REQUESTED BY...WES BENTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602365.0/GSP
.DELDT 02/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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