528  
FNUS72 KGSP 140154  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LCRD C191 ERICKSON...USDA FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
854 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON FEBRUARY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WIND WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH  
SATURDAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RECOVER TO AROUND 65-70%  
TONIGHT, THEN DROP TO AROUND 25-35% ON SATURDAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN  
RETURNS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8171 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (34641 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................8 TO 18.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........23300 DECREASING TO 17000 EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 22100 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 15800 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...29.58.  
 
TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 21 48 44 64 65 62 84  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 53 57 61 63 63 63 62  
DEWPOINT........30 29 29 29 29 29 29 29  
RH..............48 40 34 30 27 27 27 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 6 7 8 8 8 8 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 2.1 2.9 3.6 3.8 4.1 4.3 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 7 7 8 6  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............8 11 13 18 16 16 16 13  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.8 12 17 21 26 28 35 19  
CEILING (HFT)...250 250 250 233 170 206 221 158  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...970 968 966 963 961 960 959 958  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER  
3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1150 MPH-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................3 TO 4.  
STABILITY CLASS.....6.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........13100 INCREASING TO 30000.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....8.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...29.49.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........90 91 75 78 80 81 82 83 85 87 89 90  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 56 52 50 49 48 48 47 47 46 46 46  
DEWPOINT........31 32 31 31 31 32 32 33 35 36 38 39  
RH..............36 40 44 47 50 52 54 57 62 68 73 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 3  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4  
ADI.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1  
CEILING (HFT)...138 131 136 146 151 181 220 239 239 239 300 300  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8  
SFC PRES (IN)...958 958 958 958 958 957 956 954 953 951 950 949  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN LIKELY EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. RAIN IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 14 TO 18  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1150 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (21751 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................6 TO 14.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.64 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........30000.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....8 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...29.17.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........91 92 94 95 97 96 95 97 98 98 99 98  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............46 46 48 49 51 52 54 55 57 58 58 58  
DEWPOINT........40 42 45 48 51 52 54 55 56 56 57 57  
RH..............80 84 88 95 100 100 100 99 97 95 94 95  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 3 3 5 5 6 6 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE S S S S S S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 6 9 14 17 18 17 16 16 15 16 16  
LVORI...........4 5 5 6 5 5 7 7 5 5 5 5  
ADI.............6 6 8 12 14 14 12 11 13 13 14 13  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 2 3 4 4 11 17 22 21 20 21 21  
CEILING (HFT)...300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 300  
VISIBILITY (SM).8 8  
SFC PRES (IN)...947 945 943 941 938 934 931 927 924 921 919 917  
 

 
FORECASTER...PM  
REQUESTED BY...JAMES ATKINS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602720.0/GSP  
.DELDT 02/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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