021
FXUS62 KGSP 032335
AFDGSP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
735 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION.
KEY MESSAGES
1. DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE IS THE STORY OF THE WEEK AS THE SOUTHEAST RETURNS TO
MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS AGAIN. A RIDGE SHIFTS EASTWARD OVER THE REGION
TODAY AND REMAINS IN PLACE UNTIL THE GENERAL FLOW ALOFT BREAKS DOWN
BY SATURDAY. THIS MEANS A QUIET PERIOD OF NO RAIN AND STORMS THROUGH
AT LEAST THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND. GUIDANCE ALSO HAS DRIER AIR
LINGERING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS BEFORE MOISTURE STARTS TO RETURN
SATURDAY. AS FOR TEMPERATURES, UPPER 70S FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE
AREA TODAY BEFORE A WARMING TREND ENSUES THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.
LOOKING AHEAD, LONG RANGE GUIDANCE STARTS TO PICK UP ON A SIGNAL FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING SUNDAY. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
DEPARTS, HEIGHT FALLS AND MORE SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS AID IN
MOISTURE RETURN. AT THIS TIME, IT LOOKS TO BE MORE OF THE TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME, DIURNALLY DRIVEN PATTERN WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POPPING UP EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TIS' THE SEASON.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE: EXPECT DRY, VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD. OTHER THAN A FEW FAIR-WX CUMULUS
TOMORROW AFTN/EVENING, SKIES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR. KAVL
HAS SOME POTENTIAL TO SEE BRIEF FOG THURSDAY MORNING, BUT THE
LATEST GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE LESS BULLISH THAN EARLIER. IF
DEW POINTS DON'T REBOUND BY AT LEAST A FEW DEGREES OVERNIGHT,
THEY WILL LIKELY REMAIN TOO DRY FOR ANY FOG. NONETHELESS, I
KEPT A TEMPO AT KAVL FOR 5SM AND SCT003 FROM 10 TO 13Z.
OTHERWISE, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GO LIGHT AND VRB TO CALM
TONIGHT AND REMAIN THAT WAY THROUGH THE MORNING. THEY ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT AND VRB FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD
AT THE UPSTATE TERMINALS, WHILE THEY COULD FAVOR A N/NE DI-
RECTION AT KCLT TOMORROW AFTN. AT KAVL, WINDS SHOULD FAVOR
A LIGHT, NLY DIRECTION TOMORROW AFTN, THEN TOGGLE AROUND TO
SELY BY LATE AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK: EXPECT DRY, VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND, WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR MORNING MTN VALLEY FOG/LOW
CLOUDS EACH DAY.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
CP/JPT
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