573
FXUS62 KGSP 040701
AFDGSP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
301 AM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1. DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DEEP LAYER RIDGING WILL BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE INFLUENCING THE
WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE
WEEKEND. THE RESULT WILL BE A CONTINUED WARMING TREND. MAX TEMPS
TODAY WILL STILL FALL A LITTLE SHY OF CLIMO WHILE SURFACE DEWPOINTS
WILL BE IN A SLOW RECOVERY MODE...BUT STILL ANOMALOUSLY LOW...SO
ALL IN ALL A PLEASANT DAY AS FAR AS EARLY JUNE GOES. TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM TO NORMAL FRIDAY...REMAINING NEAR NORMAL...PERHAPS A
LITTLE WARMER THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF SURFACE RIDGING. HOWEVER, MOISTURE AND ATTENDANT AFTERNOON
INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW FOR SPOTTY DIURNAL
CONVECTION BY SUNDAY...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. BY EARLY IN
THE NEW WORK WEEK, THE GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE
RIDGE WILL HAVE RETROGRADED TO THE CENTRAL CONUS, WITH A TROUGH
BECOMING ESTABLISHED ALONG THE EAST COAST. THIS WILL INCREASE
THE PROBABILITY OF A FRONTAL ZONE INTERACTING WITH THE INCREASING
MOISTURE...ENHANCING PRECIP CHANCES DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. HAVING SAID THAT, THE SIGNAL FOR PRECIP FROM GUIDANCE IS NOT
ESPECIALLY STRONG, SO POPS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE CHANCE RANGE MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES TREND DOWN A BIT LATE IN THE PERIOD
IN ANTICIPATION OF INCREASE CONVECTION AND/OR POTENTIAL FROPA.
AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE: THE AIR MASS HAS TRIED OUT A BIT MORE
COMPARED TO 24 HOURS AGO. AS SUCH, THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG/LOW STRATUS
IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS IS CONSIDERABLY LOWER THIS MORNING. WHILE
SOME RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP IN THE MORE TYPICAL VALLEY
AREAS WEST OF KAVL, THEY ARE MUCH LESS LIKELY AT KAVL. NEVERTHELESS,
THERE IS ENOUGH OF A POTENTIAL TO CONTINUE A TEMPO FOR MVFR AT
KAVL FROM 10-13Z. OTHERWISE, VFR/SKC WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT/VARIABLE OR CALM.
OUTLOOK: EXPECT DRY, VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND. THE POTENTIAL FOR MORNING MTN VALLEY FOG/LOW CLOUDS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE EACH DAY.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
JDL
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