060
FXUS62 KGSP 050625
AFDGSP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
225 AM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.
KEY MESSAGES
1. DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH
SATURDAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DEEP LAYER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS REMAINS IN PLACE
THROUGH SATURDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH THERE WILL
BE PERIODS OF MAINLY THIN CIRRUS. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR TO A LITTLE
ABOVE NORMAL TODAY WITH A SMALL INCREASE ON SATURDAY. LOWS WILL RISE
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. DEWPOINTS WILL BE BELOW USUAL VALUES
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR KEEPING HUMIDITY IN CHECK.
SHORTWAVES MOVE EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE OVER
THE SOUTHEAST. AN UPPER LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND DROPS
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC BY THURSDAY. THIS HELPS PUSH A BACKDOOR COLD
FRONT INTO THE AREA BY MONDAY WITH A WEAK COLD AIR DAMMING HIGH
MOVING IN ON TUESDAY. THE BACKDOOR FRONT WASHES OUT ON WEDNESDAY
WITH THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE HIGH DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE
CAROLINAS WITH A MODERATING AIR MASS. THIS LEADS TO A CONTINUED SLOW
WARMING TREND THROUGH MONDAY, THEN COOLING BELOW NORMAL ON TUESDAY.
A WARMING TREND RETURNS THROUGH THURSDAY WITH 90S POSSIBLE BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD. CHANCES OF MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION INCREASE
THROUGH TUESDAY THEN REMAIN NEARLY STEADY THROUGH THURSDAY.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE: EXPECT DRY, VFR CONDITIONS AT THE TAF SITES
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE WILL BE SOME MOUNTAIN VALLEY FOG, BUT IT
SHOULD REMAIN AWAY FROM KAVL. THERE WILL ALSO BE PATCHES OF THIN
CIRRUS THROUGH THE PERIOD AS WELL. LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO CALM WIND
THIS EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMES S TO SW DURING THE DAY, THEN BACK TO
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO CALM THIS EVENING.
OUTLOOK: EXPECT DRY, VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE POTENTIAL FOR MORNING MTN VALLEY FOG/LOW STRATUS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE EACH DAY. DIURNAL CONVECTION RETURNS NEXT WEEK.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
RWH
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