111
FXUS62 KGSP 260627
AFDGSP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
227 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE AVIATION DISCUSSION WAS UPDATED FOR THE 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.
NBM IS TRENDING DRIER FOR THURSDAY.
KEY MESSAGES
1. DRY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS RETURNING
EACH AFTERNOON. BELOW NORMAL LOWS STICK AROUND THIS WEEKEND BEFORE
ABOVE NORMAL LOWS RETURN NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS
RETURNING EACH AFTERNOON. BELOW NORMAL LOWS STICK AROUND THIS
WEEKEND BEFORE ABOVE NORMAL LOWS RETURN NEXT WEEK.
CYCLONIC FLOW REMAINS ALOFT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK ACROSS MUCH OF
THE EAST COAST. UPPER RIDGING THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BY
MID-WEEK, LINGERING OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE, DRY HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THE PATTERN
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. MOISTURE MAY RETURN
AS EARLY AS FRIDAY, PER THE LATEST RUN OF THE CANADIAN, BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW AS BOTH THE THE GFS AND EURO CONTINUE TO SHOW DRY
CONDITIONS LINGERING THROUGH FRIDAY. NBM POPS ARE TRENDING MUCH
LOWER FOR THURSDAY. FOR FRIDAY, NBM STILL DEPICTS CHANCE POPS AREA-
WIDE. THINKING NBM POPS ARE POTENTIALLY OVERDONE ON FRIDAY AS
MOISTURE IS MORE LIKELY TO RETURN BY NEXT WEEKEND. LOWS REMAIN BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE ABOVE NORMAL LOWS RETURN NEXT
WEEK. ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS RETURN TODAY AND LINGER THROUGH THE REST OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE: EXPECT DRY, VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
THRU THE 06Z TAF PERIOD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION COULD BE SOME PATCHY
MTN VALLEY FOG AND/OR LOW STRATUS OVERNIGHT THAT MAY REACH KAVL.
CONFIDENCE REMAINS FAIRLY LOW THAT RESTRICTIONS WILL REACH KAVL,
BUT NONETHELESS, I KEPT A TEMPO FOR 5SM AND BKN004 FROM 09 TO 13Z.
OTHERWISE, SKIES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THRU THE TAF PERIOD
WITH WINDS FAVORING A N TO NW DIRECTION THRU THE PERIOD. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHTER OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING, AND PICK UP IN
THE 5 TO 8 KT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. KAVL WILL LIKELY SEE SOME
LOW-END GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
OUTLOOK: DRY, VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK, HOWEVER MTN VALLEY FOG/LOW STRATUS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH MORNING.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
AR/JPT
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