085
FXUS62 KGSP 201324
AFDGSP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
924 AM EDT TUE OCT 20 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
RH VALUES TRENDING DRIER FOR TODAY.
KEY MESSAGES
1. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA
TODAY FROM 12 PM THROUGH 7 PM.
2. DRY AND QUIET WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE
MOSTLY ABOVE NORMAL OUTSIDE OF THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST
GEORGIA TODAY FROM 12 PM THROUGH 7 PM.
DRY AIRMASS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES KEEP A LOW-END FIRE DANGER
THREAT AROUND TODAY, MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH 10-15 MPH WINDS JUST ABOVE THE BOUNDARY
LAYER ACTING TO ENHANCE AFTERNOON MIXING SHOULD ALLOW LOWER
DEWPOINTS TO DEVELOP. THUS, MINIMUM RH VALUES SHOULD DROP DOWN TO 20-
25% FOR MOST LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA FROM NOON
TO 7 PM WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING TO OR BELOW 25%. SLIGHTLY
HIGHER GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH SHOULD BE MAINLY CONFINED TO THE EASTERN
ZONES THIS AFTERNOON.
KEY MESSAGE 2: DRY AND QUIET WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGHS
WILL BE MOSTLY ABOVE NORMAL OUTSIDE OF THE WEEKEND.
PATTERN OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS REMAINS BENIGN. A RIDGE OUT WEST
AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS AND EVENTUALLY MIGRATES EASTWARD
INTO THE SOUTHEAST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS THE DOMINANT
FEATURE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD,
KEEPING DRY AIR LOCKED IN PLACE. GUIDANCE HINTS AT BRIEF DRY CAD
DEVELOPING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS A COASTAL LOW LIFTS AWAY FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE RETURN OF COOLER TEMPERATURES
FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS END UP AROUND 5 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL ON SATURDAY. HIGHS SHOULD END UP ABOVE NORMAL THE REST OF THE
PERIOD.
AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE: OTHER THAN SOME FOG IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS
AND AROUND SOME OF THE LAKES, VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT ALL
TERMINALS THROUGH THE 12Z TAF PERIOD. AT THE TIME OF TAF ISSUANCE,
LAKE FOG WAS CLOSE, BUT NOT EXPECTED TO AFFECT KHKY OR KAND. WIND
WILL BE LIGHT N TO NE, SLIGHTLY STRONGER IN THE AFTN, BUT STILL
AROUND 5-6 KTS (EXCEPT 8 KT AT KCLT).
OUTLOOK: DRY, VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK, AND INTO
THE WEEKEND. PATCHY FOG IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS AND AROUND SOME
OF THE MAJOR LAKES MAY BE POSSIBLE EACH MORNING.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...INCREASED FIRE DANGER FROM NOON EDT TODAY UNTIL 7 PM EDT
THIS EVENING FOR GAZ010- 017-018-026-028-029.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
AR/ARK/CP
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