411  
FNUS71 KGYX 211008  
FWSGYX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CONCORD AIRPORT RX...SPACE FORCE, NH FISH AND GAME  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME  
608 AM EDT THU OCT 21 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON OCTOBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (207) 688-3224, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE THIS  
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL PUSH INTO THE LOWER 70S, WHILE MIXING  
WILL AGAIN BRING NEARLY STEADY DEW POINT TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE  
DAY. THIS WILL DRY RH VALUES OUT TO THE LOWER 40%, POSSIBLY UPPER  
30% RANGE IN THE AFTERNOON. GIVEN DEEP MIXING, IT WILL BE BREEZY  
THIS AFTERNOON, WITH A SOUTHERLY WIND GUST OF 15 TO 20 KT  
POSSIBLE.  
 
THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY, AND  
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT. MOISTURE  
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL TRAVERSE THE AREA LATE TONIGHT, WITH  
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE CHANCE  
OF RAIN WILL LIFT OUT OF THE AREA BY MID FRIDAY MORNING WITH WINDS  
TURNING WEST, AND TEMPS/DEW POINT TEMPS FALLING IN THE EVENING  
AFTER ANOTHER WARM DAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............45 INCREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...71.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO  
14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (56300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................5 INCREASING TO 13 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
INCREASING TO 33 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 57 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 36 DECREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........53 53 53 53 53 53 54 54 54 54 54 54  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............50 51 52 53 59 63 67 69 70 71 70 68  
DEWPOINT........47 47 43 45 47 49 48 48 47 47 48 48  
RH..............89 86 71 74 64 60 50 47 44 42 45 49  
APARNT TMP (F)..50 51 52 53 59 63 67 69 70 71 70 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 6 10 13 13 10 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.7 3.7 4.0 3.7 3.0 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 3 3 5 7 13 14 12 9 8  
LVORI...........7 7 6 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............2 2 3 3 3 7 13 33 56 58 36 17  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/10001 1 1 1 2 5 10 29 53 56 42 12  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............50 INCREASING TO 53 OVERNIGHT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...65.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6500 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3 IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
ADI.................11 IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........40 40 40 40 40 40 68 68 68 68 68 68  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............65 61 59 58 56 55 54 54 54 55 55 55  
DEWPOINT........48 49 49 50 51 51 52 53 53 54 54 54  
RH..............54 65 69 75 83 86 93 96 96 96 96 96  
APARNT TMP (F)..65 61 59 58 56 55 54 54 54 55 55 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 14 10 8 9 9 13 15 15 15 15  
LVORI...........2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 M M M M  
ADI.............14 8 8 12 12 9 8 8 M M M M  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/10009 7 8 12 11 8 11 12 12 11 10 10  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............53.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...68.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15  
TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON,  
THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (50500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............MISSING.  
ADI.................MISSING.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 19 19 19 19 19 52 52 52 52 52 52  
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............54 54 54 59 62 64 67 68 68 67 66 63  
DEWPOINT........54 54 54 54 54 54 54 53 53 53 52 52  
RH..............100 100 100 87 78 70 63 61 59 61 61 67  
APARNT TMP (F)..54 54 54 59 62 64 67 68 68 67 66 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.3 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.1 3.0 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 17 20 20 21 20 18 17 18 15 10  
LVORI...........M M M M M M M M M M M M  
ADI.............M M M M M M M M M M M M  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/10008 6 5 14 27 42 47 50 51 39 28 20  
 

 
FORECASTER...CORNWELL  
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN NAJJAR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2119864.0/GYX  
.DELDT 10/21/21  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL STEPHEN.NAJJAR@SPACEFORCE.MIL  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab ME Page
The Nexlab NH Page Main Text Page