733
FXUS64 KHGX 052317
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
517 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PLEASANT, DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH GRADUAL
INCREASES IN TEMPERATURES AND A MODEST INCREASE IN HUMIDITY.
THOUGH FAIRLY DRY, THE FORECAST HUMIDITY ALONG WITH FAIRLY LIGHT
WINDS WILL MITIGATE CONCERN ABOUT FIRE WEATHER.
- THE NEXT FRONT FOR OUR AREA IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND. THIS FRONT
LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT AND SOME BRIEFLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES, BUT LITTLE TO NO POTENTIAL FOR RAIN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 104 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
THE REST OF THE WEEK REMAINS QUIET WITH ONSHORE WINDS PREVAILING
AND NEGLIGIBLE POPS. INCREASING HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN
DAYTIME HIGHS RUNNING ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
WHILE HUMIDITY WILL BE LESS OPPRESSIVE THAN WHAT WE EXPERIENCE IN
THE SUMMERTIME, HEATRISK AND WET BULB GLOBE TEMPERATURES BOTH
SUGGEST A LOW-MODERATE RISK FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY. BE
SURE TO USE CAUTION DURING THE HOTTER TIMES OF THE DAY AND AVOID
OVEREXERTION.
THE PATTERN WILL CHANGE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE ARRIVAL OF
ANOTHER COLD FRONT (TOA LOOKING LIKE SATURDAY EVENING AND OFF THE
COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING). WINDS WILL BECOME PRETTY GUSTY OUT OF
THE NORTH BEHIND THE FROPA AND THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS OF
MONDAY AS COLD AIR MOVES IN FROM BEHIND THE RETREATING UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH. SUSTAINED WINDS LOOK TO REACH INTO THE 15-20 KT RANGE
INLAND AND 25-30 KT RANGE OVER THE WATERS.
WHILE THE MAJORITY OF THE COLDEST AIR IS EXPECTED TO SETTLE IN
JUST EAST OF OUR AREA, A BRIEF SHOT OF COLD AIR IS ANTICIPATED FOR
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. LOWS THOSE NIGHTS ARE PROJECTED TO
BE IN THE UPPER 30S GENERALLY NORTH OF I-10. CLOSER TO THE METRO
AND SOUTH OF I-10, LOWS WILL BE IN THE 40S. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL
BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S.
MONDAY NIGHT IN PARTICULAR CONTINUES TO BE A TIME TO MONITOR
TRENDS AS THERE REMAINS A MODERATE (30-50%) POTENTIAL FOR A LIGHT
FREEZE ACROSS HOUSTON, TRINITY, POLK, AND MADISON COUNTIES.
THE COLDER WEATHER WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES BACK
IN, AND THE 850MB TEMPERATURES INCREASE IN RESPONSE. LOOK FOR
HIGHS TO REACH BACK INTO THE 80S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA BY MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK NEXT WEEK.
BAILEY
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 459 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS EVENING, THEN AREAS OF
FOG BECOME MORE LIKELY OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
CONFIDENCE IS GROWING WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS LOOKING MUCH MORE
LIKELY, ESPECIALLY DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS ON THURSDAY. FOG
PRONE SITES WILL SEE THE WORST OF THESE CONDITIONS. VISIBILITY MAY
BOUNCE UP AND DOWN AT TIMES (AS COMMON WITH FOG), THOUGH SEVERAL
HOURS OF LIFR/VLIFR CONDITIONS ARE ALMOST CERTAIN TO OCCUR AT
KCXO DURING THIS EARLY MORNING PERIOD. FOG SHOULD BURN OFF NOT
LONG AFTER SUNRISE, USHERING IN VFR CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY ONCE
AGAIN.
03
MARINE
ISSUED AT 104 PM CST WED NOV 5 2025
CALM MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATERS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK WITH LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW AND LOW SEAS PREVAILING.
WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A FRONTAL PASSAGE SATURDAY NIGHT OR
SUNDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS AND
ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS. GUSTY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN THE ISSUANCE OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES.
BAILEY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 58 82 61 86 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 61 82 64 87 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 68 77 70 81 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BAILEY
AVIATION...03
MARINE...BAILEY
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