726
FXUS64 KHGX 070001
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
601 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY TO DENSE FOG CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED DURING THE
MORNING COMMUTE IN AREAS WITH DENSE FOG.
- GENERALLY WARM AND DRY THROUGH SATURDAY.
- A COLD FRONT MAY BRING GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS AND MUCH COLDER
TEMPERATURES IN ITS WAKE SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SOME LOCATIONS IN
OUR PINEY WOODS COUNTIES COULD HAVE THEIR FIRST FROST / LIGHT
FREEZE OF THE SEASON.
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1104 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
GENERALLY DRY BUT WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY
AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MODESTLY RISES. WE WILL ONCE AGAIN HAVE THE
POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY TO DENSE FOG DEVELOPING DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY BURN OFF BY THE MID MORNING
HOURS. FOG COULD AFFECT YOUR MORNING COMMUTE...IF YOU ENCOUNTER
DENSE FOG, REMEMBER TO TURN ON YOUR LOW-BEAM HEADLIGHTS, SLOW DOWN
AND INCREASE DISTANCE, AND CONSIDER THE POSSIBILITY OF TRAFFIC
DELAYS.
THE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S BY
FRIDAY FOR MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS (PINEY WOODS REGION COULD
REMAIN IN THE MID 80S). THE HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE A DEGREE OR
TWO WARMER, AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO RISE AND COMBINES
WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. WE MAY EVEN SEE SOME SPOTS SOUTH OF I-10
AND WEST OF I-45 HIT 90 DEG F. FOR THOSE WHO LOVE THE CLIMATE
STATISTICS, THESE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE ROUGHLY ABOUT 8-14 DEG
ABOVE NORMAL. THE LOW TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE RUNNING ABOVE
NORMAL - ROUGHLY IN THE UPPER 50S OVER THE BRAZOS VALLEY/PINEY
WOODS REGION, THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR THE REST OF THE INLAND
AREAS, AND THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S ALONG THE COASTS.
A MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO SOUTHEAST TX SOMETIME
LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. UNFORTUNATELY, NOT MUCH RAIN WILL OCCUR
WITH THIS FRONT (LIKELY TO OCCUR OVER THE OFFSHORE GULF WATERS).
HOWEVER, IT WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES BY SUNDAY, WITH
HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S THAT DAY.
NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20-28 MPH COULD BE SEEN
BY SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL LEAD TO EFFECTIVE CAA OVER THE REGION.
THUS, COMPARED TO SATURDAY NIGHT'S LOWS, THE LOWS ON SUNDAY NIGHT
COULD BE ABOUT 20 DEGREES LOWER. WE COULD SEE LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S OVER THE PINEY WOODS REGION (MAYBE THEIR FIRST LIGHT FROST OF
THE SEASON), THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH OF I-10, THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 40S ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-10, AND THE MID TO UPPER 40S ALONG
THE COASTS. OUR FIRST REAL TASTE (OR FEEL) OF WINTER SO FAR THIS
FALL!
ON SUNDAY, THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
DEEPEN SOUTHWARD, LEADING TO REINFORCING DRY/COLD AIR (MAYBE A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT AS WELL). THIS WILL GIVE US ANOTHER COLD
BURST, WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY RANGING BETWEEN THE UPPER 50S AND
LOWER 60S AREAWIDE. AN EVEN COLDER NIGHT CAN BE EXPECTED WITH MANY
INLAND AREAS SEEING LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S ON MONDAY NIGHT.
EXCITED TO FINALLY SAY, SWEATER WEATHER IS HERE >_<.
FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO LOVE THE COLD AIR, ENJOY IT AS MUCH AS YOU
CAN BECAUSE SOUTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO RETURN TUESDAY AND WILL
LEAD TO A WARMING TREND THROUGH AT LEAST THE SECOND PART OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
COTTO
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 600 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING, BUT DO ANTICIPATE
THAT WE'LL SEE SOME FOG REDEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REGION TOWARD
LATE EVENING GOING INTO THE OVERNIGHT AS WINDS DROP OFF AND
TEMPERATURES FALL TO THE DEWPOINT. SUSPECT WE'LL SEE A MIXED BAG
OF VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS - RANGING FROM MVFR TO MAYBE SOME
LOCALIZED LIFR. TAFS ARE FAIRLY GENERAL AT THIS POINT TIL WE START
SEEING SOME OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. BUT FOR NOW, ANTICIPATE SOME
REDUCED VSBY/CIGS IN THE 4-14Z TIMEFRAME. SOME GUIDANCE MIXES IN
SOME SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AS WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE BECOME
MORE SWLY...SUGGESTING SOME EARLIER IMPROVEMENT. REGARDLESS, LOOK
FOR ANY REMAINING FOG TO BURN OFF IN THE EARLY-MID MORNING HOURS
FRIDAY AND VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
47
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1104 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS OF 3 FEET OR LESS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BE E-SE TODAY, TURN S-SE TONIGHT, THEN S-SW
FRIDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY. PATCHY TO DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP INLAND ONCE AGAIN DURING THE OVERNIGHT TO EARLY MORNING
HOURS AND COULD SPILL INTO THE BAYS. FOG, IF ANY, IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BURN OFF BY THE MID MORNING HOURS.
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN ITS WAKE EARLY SUNDAY, AND GUSTS COULD
REACH GALE STRENGTH AT TIMES. SEAS WILL BUILD AND MAY RISE TO
AROUND 7 FEET OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS AND UP TO 12 FEET FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY FOR WINDS OF 25-30KT AND GUSTS OF 30-35KT.
WATER LEVELS OVER THE BAYS MAY BE 0.5-1.0 BELOW MLLW DURING LOW
TIDE ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE MONDAY
EVENING INTO TUESDAY. ONSHORE FLOW RETURNS TUESDAY.
COTTO
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 61 87 59 85 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 64 87 65 88 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 69 80 71 81 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...COTTO
AVIATION...47
MARINE...COTTO
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