890
FXUS66 KHNX 030729
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
1229 AM PDT FRI OCT 3 2025
KEY MESSAGES
1. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE
REGION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WHILE COOLER THAN AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES PREVAIL.
2. SNOW ABOVE 8,000 FEET IN THE SIERRA NEVADA HAS A 60 TO 90
PERCENT CHANCE FOR AT LEAST ONE INCH OF ACCUMULATION THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON.
3. THERE IS A 50 TO 80 PERCENT PROBABILITY FOR MAXIMUM WIND
GUSTS GREATER THAN 45 MPH FOR THE TOWN OF MOJAVE AND STATE
ROUTES 14 AND 58 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
4. SEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WITH DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
MAINLY MODERATE PRECIPITATION WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND LAST UNTIL THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTHWARD AS WE
PROGRESS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
TO TAPER OFF BY EARLY THIS EVENING, THOUGH COOLER THAN AVERAGE
DAYTIME HIGHS WILL LAST INTO SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WARMING
TREND RETURNS FOR SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
SNOW WILL BE IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, OR ABOVE 8,000 FEET, IN
THE SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO SEQUOIA NP LATER THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INLAND
INTO THE GREAT BASIN DURING THE EVENING HOURS INTO SATURDAY.
HOWEVER, WINDS WILL RAMP UP BY THIS AFTERNOON IN THE KERN COUNTY
DESERT, INCLUDING THE MOJAVE DESERT SLOPES AND THE DESERT
FLOOR. GUSTS AT LEAST 45 MPH (50-80 PERCENT CHANCE, WITH THE
HIGHER END OF THE RANGE TOWARDS THE MOJAVE DESERT SLOPES) ARE
LIKELY TO CONTINUE IN THESE AREAS UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
THE LIKELIHOOD FOR HIGHS IN THE MID-80'S RISES BEGINNING EARLY
NEXT WEEK AND WILL LAST FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL. THE NEXT TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ARRIVES BY NEXT
FRIDAY, WHICH WILL PROVIDE SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES AND A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS FOR MUCH OF OUR
FORECAST AREA.
AVIATION
MVFR CEILINGS WITH LOCAL IFR DUE TO SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY, SIERRA NEVADA, AND KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAINS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
NONE.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM PDT SATURDAY FOR
CAZ337>339.
BSO
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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