483
FXUS66 KHNX 031006
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
206 AM PST MON NOV 3 2025
KEY MESSAGES
1. AREAS OF DENSE FOG THIS MORNING ALONG HIGHWAY 99 FROM MADERA
COUNTY TO KINGS AND TULARE COUNTY.
2. SLIGHT WARMUP TODAY BEFORE COOLING DOWN ON TUESDAY.
3. SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION THIS WEDNESDAY BRINGING VALLEY
RAIN, MOUNTAIN SNOW, AND INCREASED GUSTS IN THE DESERT
AREAS.
4. TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND THE SAME WEDNESDAY INTO SATURDAY
BEFORE A WARMUP ON SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
FOGGY CONDITIONS GREET US THIS MORNING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE SITS OVER THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WARM UP THIS AFTERNOON
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. THERE IS A 15 TO 25 PERCENT CHANCE OF A
HIGH OF AT LEAST 80 FOR MOST OF THE VALLEY BUT BAKERSFIELD HAS A
60 PERCENT CHANCE OF AT LEAST 80 DEGREES.
THE RIDGE SLIDES AWAY ON A TUESDAY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM MAKES IT
WAY TOWARDS CALIFORNIA BY WEDNESDAY. THIS LATEST SYSTEM BRINGS
A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN IN
MERCED AND MARIPOSA COUNTIES BUT A 10 TO 25 PERCENT CHANCE OF A
TENTH OF RAIN OR MORE FOR THE REST OF THE VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.
SNOW LEVELS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED AT 7500-8000', BUT
WITH THE MOISTURE WITH IT FOCUSING ON THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
OUR CWA, SNOWFALL PROBILITIES ARE AT THEIR GREATEST IN AND
AROUND YOSEMITE NATIONAL PARK. THERE IS A 70 TO 90 PERCENT
PROBABILITY FOR 1 INCH OR MORE OF SNOWFALL OVER 24 HOURS ENDING
THURSDAY MORNING FOR THESE AREAS, BUT FALLING TO 30 TO 40
PERCENT IN THE SIERRA NEVADA IN FRESNO COUNTY.
WINDS ALSO WILL PICK UP IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA
NEVADA AND IN EASTERN KERN COUNTY. THERE IS A 60 TO 80 PERCENT
CHANCE OF WIND GUSTS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH ALONG THE MOJAVE SLOPES
AND HIGHWAY 14 ON WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING AND A 50 TO 60
PERCENT CHANCE OF 40 MPH GUSTS ON WEDNESDAY IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE SIERRA NEVADA ABOVE 8,000 FEET.
WINDS DECREASE ON THURSDAY ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING
PERSISTENTLY IN THE LOW 70S WITH DRY CONDITIONS INTO THE
WEEKEND. SUNDAY BRINGS A WARMUP WITH A 5 TO 35 PERCENT CHANCE
OF HIGHS REBOUNDING TO AT LEAST 80 DEGREES.
AVIATION
LIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT KVIS AND IN PATCHES THROUGH
17Z. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE AREA FROM
18Z THROUGH 9Z TUESDAY.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ON MONDAY NOVEMBER 3 2025, NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN
FRESNO, KERN, MADERA, AND TULARE COUNTIES. BURNING DISCOURAGED
IN KINGS AND MERCED COUNTIES, AND KERN (GREATER FRAZIER PARK
AREA) AND SEQUOIA NATIONAL PARK AND FOREST.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR CAZ302-306-
311.
JPK
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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