598
FXUS66 KHNX 041015
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
215 AM PST TUE NOV 4 2025
KEY MESSAGES
1. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON.
2. SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING BRINGING VALLEY RAIN, MOUNTAIN SNOW, AND
INCREASED GUSTS IN THE DESERT AREAS.
3. WIND ADVISORY ISSUED FOR THE MOJAVE SLOPES FROM 4 AM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH 10 AM THURSDAY.
4. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLE UNTIL SATURDAY BEFORE A
WARMUP ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
THE RIDGE THAT HAS BROUGHT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THE PAST
FEW DAYS HAS MOVED EAST. TODAY, WE ARE EXPECTING TEMPERATURES TO
DROP A FEW DEGREES BUT WILL REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE. THERE IS A 70
TO 95 PERCENT CHANCE OF HIGHS OF AT LEAST 75 DEGREES TODAY IN
THE VALLEY.
HOWEVER, A TROUGH MOVES IN LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING. THIS TROUGH BRINGS A 10 TO 35 PERCENT CHANCE OF A TENTH
OF AN INCH OF RAIN FOR VALLEY LOCATIONS SOUTH OF MERCED AND A 65
TO 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF A TENTH OF AN INCH OR MORE IN MERCED AND
MARIPOSA. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE AT AROUND 9,000 FEET BUT WILL BE
CONCENTRATED IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF MARIPOSA AND MADERA
COUNTIES. TIOGA PASS HAS A 47 PERCENT CHANCE OF 2 INCHES OF SNOW
OR MORE WITH THIS SYSTEM WHILE TUOLUMNE MEADOWS HAS A 30
PERCENT CHANCE OF AN INCH OR MORE. OTHERWISE, SNOW CHANCES WILL
BE BELOW 25 PERCENT FOR EVEN ANY ACCUMULATION.
WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO PICK UP WITH THIS TROUGH ALONG THE RIDGES
OF THE SIERRA NEVADA. HOWEVER, THE CONCERN WITH THE WINDS WILL
BE MORE ON THE DOWNSLOPE SIDE IN INYO AND MONO COUNTIES. WIND
GUSTS ALSO PICK UP ALONG THE MOJAVE SLOPES AND HIGHWAY 14 IN
KERN COUNTY. THERE IS A WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH 10 AM THURSDAY DUE TO A 70 TO 85 PERCENT CHANCE OF WIND
GUSTS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH ALONG THE MOJAVE SLOPES.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP AND MOVE IN ON FRIDAY
AND WILL BUILD THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY BRINGING
TEMPERATURES BACK UP. THERE IS A 5 TO 35 PERCENT CHANCE OF HIGHS
OF AT LEAST 80 DEGREES FOR THE VALLEY ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
AVIATION
PATCHES OF IFR TO MVFR UNTIL 17Z. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ON TUESDAY NOVEMBER 4 2025, NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN
FRESNO, KERN, KINGS, MADERA, AND TULARE COUNTIES. BURNING
DISCOURAGED IN MERCED COUNTY, AND KERN (GREATER FRAZIER PARK
AREA) AND SEQUOIA NATIONAL PARK AND FOREST.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 10 AM PST THURSDAY FOR
CAZ338.
JPK
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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