391
FXUS66 KHNX 070915
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
115 AM PST FRI NOV 7 2025
KEY MESSAGES
1. DRY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH SATURDAY
BEFORE A WARM UP ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
2. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING EACH NIGHT UNTIL THE ARRIVAL OF THE
NEXT STORM.
3. NEXT STORM SYSTEM MOVES IN WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST AS
SUNNY SKIES, WARMER TEMPERATURES AND MORNING FOG DOMINATE
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA’S WEATHER. THIS PATTERN WILL HOLD TRUE
THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY WITH WEDNESDAY AS THE START OF THE
TRANSITION PERIOD TOWARD WET WEATHER. IN THE MEANWHILE, WARMING
TREND WILL TAKE TEMPERATURES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL VALUES THIS
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL START AT NEAR NORMAL VALUES THIS
FRIDAY, THE TREND WILL BE FOR MAX TEMPERATURES TO REACH FOR THE
80 DEGREE MARK BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE
(POE) OF REACHING 80 DEGREES FALLS BELOW 50% FOR AREAS FROM
FRESNO CITY, NORTHWARD. TO THE SOUTH OF FRESNO, POE JUMPS UP TO
70%-90% FOR THE SUNDAY/MONDAY TIME FRAME. SIMILAR VALUES WILL BE
OBSERVED UNTIL THE NEXT STORM ENTER THE REGION LATER NEXT WEEK
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY).
AFTERWARD, LONG RANGE ENSEMBLE ANALYSIS PLACES A LOW CHANCE OF
OF HEAVY PRECIPITATION OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL CALIFORNIA BY
NEXT LATE WEDNESDAY – THURSDAY. WHILE SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE
MAGNITUDE CURRENTLY EXIST, LONGER RANGE ENSEMBLE MOISTURE
ANALYSIS IS PLACING LATER WEDNESDAY TO EARLY THURSDAY AS THE
START TIME OF THIS NEXT EVENT AS A WEAK ATMOSPHERIC RIVER WITH
LOWER SNOW LEVELS.
AVIATION
AREAS OF MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THIS MORNING UNTIL
18Z. A FEW PATCHES OF LIFR CONDITIONS WILL ALSO EXIST BETWEEN
12Z AND 17Z THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
NONE.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR
CAZ302-303-306-307-311-312.
PUBLIC/AVIATION....MOLINA
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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