579
FXUS66 KHNX 271110
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
310 AM PST SAT DEC 27 2025
UPDATE
UPDATED AVIATION SECTION TO REFLECT THE LATEST FORECAST.
KEY MESSAGES
1. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE PRODUCING MAINLY LIGHT SHOWERS
THIS MORNING.
2. WILL SEE DRYING CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AS CLOUDS LINGER
OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA, MAINLY ACROSS THE SIERRA NEVADA, THE
ADJACENT FOOTHILLS, AND THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS.
3. DENSE FOG RETURNS TO THE CENTRAL VALLEY BY TONIGHT AND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT PRECIPITATION CONTINUES OVER MERCED COUNTY AND OVER THE
MOUNTAIN AREAS AT THIS TIME. EXPECT PARTIAL CLEARING OVERNIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. LOW CLOUDS WILL PERSIST OVER THE FOOTHILLS AND
MOUNTAINS, AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE NORTH AND WEST FACING SLOPES.
DENSE FOG MAKES ITS RETURN BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THUS, THE CHANCE FOR FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE FOR
A FEW DAYS, OR THROUGH THE END OF THE YEAR. GENERALLY SEASONABLY
COOL TEMPERATURES PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
MODELS PROJECT ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO ARRIVE ON NEW
YEAR'S EVE WITH MOISTURE MAKING LANDFALL INTO THE COASTAL AREAS
OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND
TIMING ARE UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT, BUT MODELS HAVE BEEN SHOWING
THIS FOR SEVERAL CONSECUTIVE RUNS. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
CONTINUE INTO NEXT FRIDAY, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES TOWARDS KERN
COUNTY. SNOW LEVELS AT THIS TIME ARE FORECAST ABOVE 7,000 FEET
WITH THIS SYSTEM. CURRENTLY, WE ARE LOOKING AT LESSER AMOUNTS OF
PRECIPITATION. THE PROBABILITIES ARE GENERALLY MODERATE (AROUND
A 50 PERCENT CHANCE) FOR 24 HOUR AMOUNTS AT OR ABOVE 0.25 INCH
FOR NEW YEAR'S DAY AND NEXT FRIDAY. AN INCH COULD FALL OVER MUCH
OF OUR MOUNTAIN AREAS, ALTHOUGH THE PROBABILITY IS UP TO 30
PERCENT. MORE TO FOLLOW AS WE GET CLOSER.
LATEST OUTLOOKS FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER SHOW NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION (UP TO 50-60
PERCENT CHANCE OVER OUR SOUTHERN PORTIONS) FOR THE 6-10 DAY
PERIOD. THEN, A TREND TO NEAR AVERAGE PRECIPITATION TO AS MUCH
AS A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF CONTINUED ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION
(HIGHEST CHANCES SOUTH) IS SHOWN IN THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD WITH
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES REMAINING.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME MVFR CONDITIONS ALONG THE HIGHER
TERRAIN IN LIGHT SHOWERS THROUGH 18Z TODAY. MVFR WITH LOCAL IFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS AFTER 18Z TODAY,
DUE TO LOW CLOUDS. A 10-20 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF IFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY WILL EXIST FROM 12Z TO
18Z TODAY.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ON SATURDAY DECEMBER 27, 2025, FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: BURNING DISCOURAGED IN FRESNO, KERN, KINGS, MADERA, MERCED, AND
TULARE COUNTIES, AND KERN (GREATER FRAZIER PARK AREA) AND SEQUOIA
NATIONAL PARK AND FOREST.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
AVIATION....MOLINA
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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