129
FXUS66 KHNX 131211
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
411 AM PST FRI FEB 13 2026
UPDATE
UPDATED AVIATION SECTION.
KEY MESSAGES
1. CHANCES FOR DENSE FOG RETURN TO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 AM SATURDAY.
2. THERE IS MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR ANOTHER SYSTEM TO APPROACH
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING
ADDITIONAL RAIN AND SNOW TO THE REGION.
3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE EXISTS FOR THE ACTIVE STORM PATTERN TO
CONTINUE THROUGH MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
THE TROUGH THAT BROUGHT THE RAIN TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY IS
SLIDING OUT OF THE AREA AND BEING REPLACED A QUICK MOVING WEAK
RIDGE. HOWEVER, THIS RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL STABILIZE
CONDITIONS ENOUGH FOR THE POTENTIAL OF FOG TO RETURN. LATEST
MODELS HAVE A 35 TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF 1/4 MILE OF VISIBILITY
OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING ALONG THE HIGHWAY 99 CORRIDOR.
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGS ANOTHER CHANCE BUT LOWER
PROBABILITIES OF 30 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF 1/4 MILE BUT MORE IN
THE CENTER OF THE VALLEY.
THE BIG STORY IS THE TROUGH THAT BEGINS TO SLIDE IN ON SUNDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEK. THERE IS A 70 TO 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF TWO
FEET OR MORE OF SNOW ENDING 4 AM WEDNESDAY ABOVE 6,000 FEET IN
THE SIERRA NEVADA. IN THE VALLEY, THERE IS A 40 TO 55 PERCENT
CHANCE OF HALF AN INCH OR MORE OF RAIN ENDING 4 PM MONDAY AND A
50 TO 65 PERCENT CHANCE OF AN ADDITIONAL HALF AN INCH IN 24
HOURS ENDING 4 PM TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION DECREASES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS THE TROUGH SLIDES AWAY WITH A 35 TO 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAIN ENDING 4 PM WEDNESDAY.
THE CPC HINTS AT A CHANGE AS THE 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK HAS A 50 TO 60
PERCENT CHANCE OF BOTH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER, THE 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK HAS A 33
TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF BOTH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND
ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION
A 50-70 PERCENT CHANCE OF IFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY AFTER 08Z FRIDAY AND A 40-60 PERCENT CHANCE FOR LIFR
CONDITIONS DUE TO FOG FROM 10Z TO 17Z FRIDAY. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ISSUED: 02/12/2026 14:31
EXPIRES: 02/13/2026 23:59
ON FRIDAY FEBRUARY 13 2026, FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING STATUS
IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO, KERN, AND MADERA
COUNTIES. BURNING DISCOURAGED IN KINGS, MERCED, AND TULARE
COUNTIES, AND KERN (GREATER FRAZIER PARK AREA) AND SEQUOIA
NATIONAL PARK AND FOREST.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS MEDIUM.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST SATURDAY FOR CAZ301>303-
305>307-309>312-314-315.
PUBLIC...JPK
AVIATION....EW
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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