174
FXUS66 KHNX 132347
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
347 PM PST FRI FEB 13 2026
UPDATE
AVIATION AND AIR QUALITY SECTIONS UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1. DENSE FOG REDEVELOPS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. DENSE
FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 AM SATURDAY.
2. THERE IS MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR ANOTHER SYSTEM TO APPROACH
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING
ADDITIONAL RAIN AND SNOW TO THE REGION.
3. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE EXISTS FOR THE ACTIVE STORM PATTERN TO
CONTINUE THROUGH MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL CONTINUE OVER OUR REGION INTO
SATURDAY. THE CHANCE FOR DENSE FOG REMAINS FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING IN THE CENTRAL VALLEY, OR AT 40-50 PERCENT
CHANCE. SOME LOCALES DID REPORT DENSE FOG THIS MORNING, ALTHOUGH
MAINLY IN OUTLYING AREAS. HOWEVER, THE HANFORD ASOS BRIEFLY
SHOWED A DROP IN VISIBILITY TO 1/4 MILE EARLIER THIS MORNING.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN SEASONAL FOR SATURDAY BUT BEGIN TO LOWER BY
SUNDAY AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE GOLDEN STATE.
QUITE A FEW CONCERNS EXIST FOR WASHINGTON'S BIRTHDAY AND TUESDAY
REGARDING WINTER WEATHER, PRECIPITATION OVER BURN SCARS, AND
GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS A 70-80 PERCENT CHANCE FOR GUSTS TO REACH
OVER 40 MPH ON BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY OVER THE MOUNTAIN AND
DESERT AREAS AND A 50-60 PERCENT CHANCE FOR GUSTS TO REACH AT
LEAST 30 MPH ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. WE ALSO CANNOT RULE
OUT BLOWING DUST IN THESE AREAS. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE INITIALLY
AT 5,500 TO 6,000 FEET ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, THEN LOWER
STARTING MONDAY NIGHT IN OUR NORTHERN AREAS. BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, THE SNOW LEVELS ACROSS THE REGION HAVE AT LEAST A
MODERATE CHANCE TO REACH 3,000 TO 4,000 FEET, WHICH INCLUDES THE
GRAPEVINE AND TEHACHAPI PASSES IN KERN COUNTY. WHILE PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS AND EXACT TIMING REMAIN UNCERTAIN, SOME BURN SCARS
BELOW 5,500 FEET CAN EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE PROBABILITY OF AT LEAST 0.50 INCH OF
PRECIPITATION FROM SUNDAY UNTIL MONDAY MORNING IS AT 20-30 PERCENT
FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN, THEN INCREASES TO AT LEAST 50-60 PERCENT
FOR ALL LOCATIONS (AND NEAR 90 PERCENT FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN)
IN OUR FORECAST AREA DURING MONDAY MORNING UNTIL TUESDAY
MORNING. THE PROBABILITIES LOWER QUITE A BIT FOR 24 HOUR
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS REACHING OR EXCEEDING 0.50 INCH FOR THE
TUESDAY MORNING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE SNOW
LEVELS WILL BE MUCH LOWER BY THEN. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
CONTINUE UNTIL THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. WHILE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
SOME BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION FOR NEXT FRIDAY, THE CHANCES
REMAIN AT AROUND 30-40 PERCENT ACROSS THE REGION.
CPC CONTINUES TO FAVOR ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION AND BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD, ALTHOUGH MAINLY
SHOWS A SLIGHT TILT IN THE ODDS BY THE 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK, OR AT
A 33-40 PERCENT CHANCE.
AVIATION
A 20-40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS DUE TO FOG
FROM 10Z TO 17Z SATURDAY. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
ISSUED: 02/13/2026 14:44
EXPIRES: 02/14/2026 23:59
ON SATURDAY FEBRUARY 14 2026, FIREPLACE/WOOD STOVE BURNING
STATUS IS: NO BURNING UNLESS REGISTERED IN FRESNO AND KERN
COUNTIES. BURNING DISCOURAGED IN KINGS, MADERA, MERCED, AND
TULARE COUNTIES, AND KERN (GREATER FRAZIER PARK AREA) AND
SEQUOIA NATIONAL PARK AND FOREST.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST SATURDAY FOR CAZ301>303-
305>307-309>312-314-315.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR CAZ318-320-322>331-333.
PUBLIC...BSO
AVIATION....JPK
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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