138
FXUS66 KHNX 141756
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
1056 AM PDT SAT MAR 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
1. A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES APPROACHING 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE DURING THE
WEEKEND AND EVEN WARMER NEXT WEEK.
2. DAILY AND MONTHLY RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE
CHALLENGED NEXT WEEK.
3. STRONGER WIND GUSTS EXPECTED IN THE MOJAVE DESERT SLOPES THIS
WEEKEND. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA FROM
THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
A MAJOR WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK THANKS TO THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING MORE ONSHORE
AND STRENGTHENING. STRONG WINDS CONTINUE IN THE MOJAVE SLOPES
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING DUE TO THE RIDGE MOVING ONSHORE LEADING
TO A WIND ADVISORY BEING IN EFFECT. THE LATEST NBM
PROBABILITIES HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE CHANCES OF HIGHS GETTING
INTO THE 90S FOR SUNDAY. MONDAY HAS A 15 TO 25 PERCENT CHANCE
OF HIGHS HITTING 90 DEGREES.
HOWEVER, THE REST OF THE WEEK HAS A 80 PERCENT CHANCE AND
HIGHER OF HIGHS BEING IN THE 90S EVEN WITH THE RIDGE WEAKENING
NEAR THE END OF NEXT WEEK AND MOVING EAST. NEW DAILY HIGH
TEMPERATURE RECORDS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY,
WITH SOME AREAS LIKELY TO BREAK ALL-TIME MONTHLY RECORDS FOR
MARCH. FRIDAY AND NEXT SATURDAY BOTH HAVE A 10 TO 20 PERCENT
CHANCE OF VERY EARLY TRIPLE DIGITS IN THE VALLEY. IN THE DESERT
AREA OF KERN COUNTY, THERE IS A 70 TO 95 PERCENT CHANCE OF HIGHS
OF AT LEAST 95 FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER, TRIPLE
DIGIT CHANCES IN THE DESERT ARE NEAR ZERO UNTIL BECOMING A 15
TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. BOTH THE 6-10 AND
8-14 DAY CPC OUTLOOKS CONTINUE TO HEAVILY FAVOR ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
WARMING AIR TEMPERATURES AND STEADY DEW POINT TEMPERATURES WILL
LEAD TO A DECREASE IN MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES, ESPECIALLY
FOR THE MOJAVE DESERT, HIGH SIERRA, AND COASTAL RANGE. THIS
WILL COINCIDE WITH A SHARP DECREASE IN 100- AND 1000-HR DEAD
FUEL MOISTURES AND AN INCREASE IN ERC IN THESE AREAS. RAPID
CURING OF FINE FUELS WILL BRING ABOUT SOME RISK FOR ISOLATED
GRASS FIRES. HOWEVER, LIVE FUEL MOISTURE REMAINS BELOW CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS AND SIGNIFICANT WILDLAND FIRE POTENTIAL REMAINS AT
LITTLE OR NO RISK.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
NONE.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR CAZ338.
JPK
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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