346
FXUS66 KHNX 040532
AFDHNX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
1032 PM PDT THU SEP 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
1. TEMPERATURES BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK BEFORE A WARMING TREND RETURNS TEMEPRATURES TO AVERAGES
MIDWEEK.
2. PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH THE
BEST CHANCES ON SUNDAY. THE GREATEST PROBABILITIES WILL ALSO BE
IN THE DESERT AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAIN AREAS.
DISCUSSION
THE LATEST DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT CONTINUES ITS
TRACK THROUGH NORTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS EVENING. FOR CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA, THE DISTURBANCE WILL INFLUENCE TEMPERATURES AND
WINDS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WHILE PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN
VERY LIMITED, THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. A DROP OF 5 TO 10 DEGREES FROM SEASONAL NORMAL
VALUES. IN ADDITION, BREEZY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WINDS
WILL REACH SPEEDS OF 10-20 MPH EACH NIGHT, OTHERWISE LIGHT
DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE OBSERVED ACROSS
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
TAKING A CLOSER LOOK, THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE (POE) OF
REACHING 90 DEGREES HAS NOT CHANCED VERY MUCH AS STILL SITS
BELOW 50 PERCENT UNTIL THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK, WITH THE POE OF 95
DEGREES REMAINING JUST BELOW 30 PERCENT. WHILE TEMPERATURES IN
THE 90S WILL RETURN TO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY, TEMPERATURES WELL
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS ARE HIGHLY UNLIKELY OVER THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS.
ADDITIONALLY, HURRICANE MARIE, WHILE MOVING WESTWARD, WILL
STILL IMPACT CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. HIGHER INTEGRATED WATER VAPOR
TRANSPORT VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO SURGE TOWARD SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND EXTEND INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL CALIFORNIA, WITH THE
BEST CHANCES FOR MOISTURE OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT, AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS. THE PROBABILITY OF MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION (POP) FOR 0.10 INCHES CONTINUE TO DROP AND IS NOW
AT 10-20 PERCENT FOR DESERT LOCATIONS. THE POP FOR 0.25 INCHES
NOW STANDS AT LESS THAN 15 PERCENT FOR THE SAME TIME FRAME AND
LOCATION. SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA REMAINS THE MOST FAVORED AREA FOR
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION, WITH MOISTURE SHIFTING AWAY FROM
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA ON MONDAY AS THE AREA DRIES OUT.
AVIATION
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LOCAL MVFR CEILINGS
FRIDAY MORNING. 40% CHANCE OF MVFR CEILINGS AT KMCE AND KBFL
BETWEEN 11Z-19Z FRIDAY, LESSER CHANCES AT KFAT AND KVIS.
AIR QUALITY ISSUES
NONE.
CERTAINTY
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.HTML FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.
HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...MOLINA
AVIATION....MOLINA
WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD
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