027
FXUS64 KHUN 012235
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
535 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
..NEW AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 232 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
DRY CONDITIONS HAVE PRESIDED OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY SO FAR
TODAY AS A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE AND FORCING FOR
ASCENT REMAINS WEAK. THIS IS FURTHER PROVEN BY THE LACK OF
TOWERING CU ON SATELLITE INDICATING THAT WE LIKELY WILL NOT SEE
ANY SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL BE NEAR THE 80 DEGREE MARK AND CLOUD COVER SHOULD BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. CLEAR SKIES SHOULD MAKE FOR
GOOD VIEWING CONDITIONS FOR THOSE PUTTING THEIR EYES TO THE SKY
TONIGHT, HOWEVER SMOKE FROM THE CANADIAN WILDFIRES CONTINUES TO
MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND HAS RESULTED IN HAZY
CONDITIONS AND DEGRADING AIR QUALITY. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 60S TONIGHT KEEPING
TEMPS ON THE COOLER SIDE OF SEASONAL NORMS.
SHORT TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1052 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
BUILD INTO THE SOUTH ON MONDAY AND MAINTAIN ITS HOLD THROUGH
TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH, THIS WILL BEGIN TO BE SHUNTED EASTWARD AS A
STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. OVERALL, WE CONTINUE
THE REPRIEVE FROM SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT;
HOWEVER, THIS WILL BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED AS A PATTERN CHANGE IS ON
THE HORIZON FOR MID TO LATE WEEK (DISCUSSED BELOW). HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S MONDAY AFTERNOON INCREASE TO THE MID TO UPPER 80S
BY TUESDAY. SOME SPOTS MAY EVEN FLIRT WITH 90 DEGREES! LOWS LOOK
TO FOLLOW A SIMILAR PATTERN, INCREASING FROM THE LOWER TO MID 60S
MONDAY NIGHT INTO THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S BY TUESDAY NIGHT AS
MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 916 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2025
MIDWEEK A SFC LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE MIDWEST AND BE SLOWED DOWN BY
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT SITS OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND MID
ATLANTIC. THIS WILL LEAVE MOST OF WEDNESDAY DRY BUT BREEZY WITH THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASING. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS (LOW CHANCE OF
10-15%) SNEAK INTO THE TN VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL NOT
MAKE MUCH PROGRESS AND STALL OUT TO OUR NORTHWEST FOR THE LATTER HALF
OF THE WORKWEEK. AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY WEAKENS, IT WILL ALLOW FOR
A GREATER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE IN. LOW
CHANCES (20-40%) EXIST FOR THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE THEY
INCREASE TO MEDIUM CHANCES (40-70%) ON FRIDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO
SHOW A FEW HUNDRED J/KG OF INSTABILITY AND LOW SHEAR VALUES ON
THURSDAY, HOWEVER VALUES ARE INCREASING ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH THE
PWATS. SO WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR DAYTIME HIGHS TO BE IN THE UPPER 80S WITH
LOWS AROUND 70.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 535 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2025
LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....26
LONG TERM....JMS
AVIATION...GH
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