628
FXUS64 KHUN 020250
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
950 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
A BROKEN COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS SEEN MOVING SOUTH OF THE TN
RIVER AS A SFC FRONT TRACKS SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA. CURRENT OBS
SHOW EVIDENCE OF DRIER AIR MOVING THROUGH THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE
TN VALLEY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT, AND THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE
FOR A FEW FAIRLY PLEASANT DAYS ACROSS THE TN VALLEY. HIGH CIRRUS
WILL CLEAR THE AREA LATER TONIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO
FOLLOW. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL COOL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S,
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER THAN RECENT NIGHTS AND WILL BEGIN A
TEMPORARY BUT WELCOMED CHANGE TO THE AREA. WITH CLEARING SKIES AND
LIGHT WINDS, WILL HAVE TO MONITOR FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT.
A BEAUTIFUL DAY IS IN STORE FOR THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY
WITH SUNNY SKIES AND TEMPS MOSTLY STAYING BELOW THE 90 DEGREE
MARK. HIGHS SHOULD REACH THE MID TO UPPER 80S DURING THE AFTERNOON
AS NORTHERLY FLOW MAINTAINS A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS OVER MUCH
OF THE EASTERN CONUS.
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
A BROAD SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BE DOMINANT ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH
THROUGH THE LATE WEEK PERIOD, PROVIDING A DRY FORECAST FOR ANY
4TH OF JULY HOLIDAY FESTIVITIES. AMPLE SUNSHINE PROVIDED FROM THE
STRONG SUBSIDENCE (CLEAR SKIES) FROM THIS RIDGE WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM EACH DAY, POTENTIALLY REACHING THE MID 90S
IN SOME AREAS ON THIS HOLIDAY FRIDAY. THE STEADY INCREASE IN LOWER
LEVEL HUMIDITY DURING THIS TIMEFRAME COULD BRING HEAT INDEX
VALUES CLOSE TO THE 100 DEGREE MARK ON INDEPENDENCE DAY. WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS FALLING INTO THE 60S EACH NIGHT, THE RISK FOR HEAT
RELATED CONCERNS WILL BE LOW UNTIL WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND. WITH
THAT SAID, BE SURE TO STAY UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST FORECAST
SHOULD HEAT BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN FOR THE HOLIDAY, AND GO AHEAD
AND MAKE PLANS TO BRING PROPER HYDRATION AND SUN PROTECTION IF
SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS FRIDAY!
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST OVER THE
WEEKEND, AND WILL SUPPORT THE INCREASE IN MORE TROPICAL LIKE AIR
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE MAIN CONCERN OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO NEXT WEEK WILL BE THE HEAT AS TEMPS REACH BACK INTO THE 90S
AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MEET OR EXCEED THE
100 DEGREE MARK. FOR NOW, IT DOES LOOK LIKE WE WILL REMAIN DRY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON THE EXACT
PROGRESSION OF THE RIDGE. NONETHELESS, THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE BEGINNING NEXT WEEK AS WE TRANSITION BACK TO A MORE HOT
AND HUMID AIRMASS WITH LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS (10-30%) EACH
AFTERNOON. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THERE IS CURRENTLY NO EVIDENCE IN
ANY ORGANIZED SYSTEM THAT WOULD BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 701 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO PREVAIL WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. SKIES ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY CLEAR
OVERNIGHT AND PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS THAT
RECEIVED RAINFALL RECENTLY. NO FOG WAS MENTIONED IN THE TAFS AT
THIS TIME BUT WE WILL MONITOR OVERNIGHT IN CASE THIS BECOMES AN
ISSUE. LIGHT WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY THROUGH THE
TAF PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....25
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...25
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