235
FXUS64 KHUN 021059
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
559 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(TODAY)
ISSUED AT 303 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
A COLD FRONT THAT BROUGHT SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE AREA YESTERDAY
HAS PUSHED TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AL. IN ITS WAKE, A DRIER AIRMASS SLOWLY BEGINS TO TRICKLE
IN FROM THE NORTH. LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING HAS
RESULTED IN SOME PATCHY FOG FORMATION. AS OF 08Z THE GREATEST
CONCERN FOR DENSE FOG HAS REMAINED ACROSS SOUTHERN TN. ANY FOG
SHOULD QUICKLY MIX OUT AFTER SUNRISE.
OVERALL A BEAUTIFUL DAY IS FORECAST ACROSS THE TN VALLEY WITH
SUNNY SKIES AND SLIGHTLY LESS HUMID AIRMASS. DEWPOINTS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MIX OUT INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S WHICH WILL BE A
NICE REPRIEVE TO THE EXTENDED STRETCH OF VERY HUMID CONDITIONS.
AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO GET INTO THE UPPER 80S.
SHORT TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
A BROAD SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BE DOMINANT ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH
THROUGH THE LATE WEEK PERIOD, PROVIDING A DRY FORECAST FOR ANY
4TH OF JULY HOLIDAY FESTIVITIES. AMPLE SUNSHINE PROVIDED FROM THE
STRONG SUBSIDENCE (CLEAR SKIES) FROM THIS RIDGE WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM EACH DAY, POTENTIALLY REACHING THE MID 90S
IN SOME AREAS ON THIS HOLIDAY FRIDAY. THE STEADY INCREASE IN LOWER
LEVEL HUMIDITY DURING THIS TIMEFRAME COULD BRING HEAT INDEX
VALUES CLOSE TO THE 100 DEGREE MARK ON INDEPENDENCE DAY. WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS FALLING INTO THE 60S EACH NIGHT, THE RISK FOR HEAT
RELATED CONCERNS WILL BE LOW UNTIL WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND. WITH
THAT SAID, BE SURE TO STAY UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST FORECAST
SHOULD HEAT BECOME MORE OF A CONCERN FOR THE HOLIDAY, AND GO AHEAD
AND MAKE PLANS TO BRING PROPER HYDRATION AND SUN PROTECTION IF
SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS FRIDAY!
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST OVER THE
WEEKEND, AND WILL SUPPORT THE INCREASE IN MORE TROPICAL LIKE AIR
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE MAIN CONCERN OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO NEXT WEEK WILL BE THE HEAT AS TEMPS REACH BACK INTO THE 90S
AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MEET OR EXCEED THE
100 DEGREE MARK. FOR NOW, IT DOES LOOK LIKE WE WILL REMAIN DRY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON THE EXACT
PROGRESSION OF THE RIDGE. NONETHELESS, THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE BEGINNING NEXT WEEK AS WE TRANSITION BACK TO A MORE HOT
AND HUMID AIRMASS WITH LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS (10-30%) EACH
AFTERNOON. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THERE IS CURRENTLY NO EVIDENCE IN
ANY ORGANIZED SYSTEM THAT WOULD BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 559 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...GH
SHORT TERM....25
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...GH
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