251
FXUS64 KHUN 021911
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
211 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
..NEW NEAR TERM
NEAR TERM
(TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
POST-FRONTAL SFC HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY, FORCING DRY CONDITIONS DESPITE DIURNAL HEATING AS HIGH
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S
ACCOMPANIED BY PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS DROPPING INTO THE MID 60S. MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW A LOW CHANCE FOR A FEW
AREAS OF PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT- PARTICULARLY AREAS THAT RECEIVED
RAINFALL YESTERDAY AS WELL AS SHELTERED VALLEYS AND ALONG LARGE
BODIES OF WATER. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO LACK OF
MOISTURE IN THE AREA. IF ANY FOG MANAGES TO BE REALIZED, IT SHOULD
DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE.
SHORT TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 822 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO HOLD ITS PLACE OVER THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S., THE TENNESSEE VALLEY REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH
SFC HIGH PRESSURE AND SUBSEQUENT DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO REACH THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S
THROUGH THE WEEK ALONG WITH HEAT INDICES NEAR 100 DEGREES
BEGINNING FRIDAY (JULY 4TH). INCREASED HEAT CONCERNS CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER FORECAST TO
PROVIDE ANY RELIEF. IF YOU HAVE OUTDOOR PLANS, BE SURE TO USE SUN
PROTECTION AND STAY HYDRATED! RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MORE ON THAT IN THE LONG TERM SECTION BELOW.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EAST OVER THE
WEEKEND, AND WILL SUPPORT THE INCREASE IN MORE TROPICAL LIKE AIR
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE MAIN CONCERN OVER THE WEEKEND AND
INTO NEXT WEEK WILL BE THE HEAT AS TEMPS REACH BACK INTO THE 90S
AND AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES LOOK LIKE THEY WILL MEET OR EXCEED THE
100 DEGREE MARK. FOR NOW, IT DOES LOOK LIKE WE WILL REMAIN DRY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT THIS COULD CHANGE DEPENDING ON THE EXACT
PROGRESSION OF THE RIDGE. NONETHELESS, THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE BEGINNING NEXT WEEK AS WE TRANSITION BACK TO A MORE HOT
AND HUMID AIRMASS WITH LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS (10-30%) EACH
AFTERNOON. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THERE IS CURRENTLY NO EVIDENCE IN
ANY ORGANIZED SYSTEM THAT WOULD BRING SEVERE WEATHER TO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AT BOTH KHSV AND KMSL THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...HC
SHORT TERM....HC
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...HC
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