650
FXUS64 KHUN 041730
AFDHUN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1230 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- 30-40% CHANCES FOR RAIN AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO RETURN
NEXT WEEK
NEAR TERM
(REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
IT'S A BEAUTIFUL START TO THIS EARLY OCTOBER SATURDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY WITH TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S AT THIS
HOUR. CLEAR SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS ABOUND THIS MORNING THANKS
TO HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE ANCHORED OVER THE VIRGINIAS, AND
MUCH OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE DAY TODAY.
DAYTIME HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOWER 80S ONCE AGAIN.
AN UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF WILL SLOWLY MEANDER NORTHWARD AS IT
DISSIPATES AND BECOMES ABSORBED BY AN INCOMING TROF TO THE WEST
TOMORROW. AS SUCH, A FEW MORE CLOUDS WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF OUR SOUTHERN/EASTERN ZONES. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BOTTOM
OUT IN THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S.
SHORT TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1110 AM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW TO THE S
WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROF FROM THE W.
THIS WILL HELP SPARK SHOWERS ON MONDAY AFTER INCREASING CLOUDS
THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. CHANCES REMAIN LOW ON MONDAY (20-30%),
BUT WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY (30-40%) AS THE FRONT NEARS FROM THE
NW. THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW (~10%) SO FOR NOW,
THUNDER HAS BEEN REMOVED WITH THIS UPDATE CYCLE. SOME UNCERTAINTY
EXISTS WITH TIMING OF THE FRONT MEANDERING THROUGH THE AREA, HENCE
THE BACK AND FORTH WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR STORMS. STAY TUNED AS
FURTHER DETAILS ARE HONED IN THE NEXT FEW MODEL RUNS HEADING INTO
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
DAYTIME TEMPS WILL TOP OUT IN THE 80-85F RANGE, WITH MORNING LOWS
IN THE 60-65F RANGE.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 928 PM CDT FRI OCT 3 2025
ON WEDNESDAY, EXTENDED GUIDANCE WAS DEPICTING A COLD FRONT MOVING
ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTH, WITH LOWER END SHOWER CHANCES
EXPECTED. POST FRONTAL SHOWERS THURSDAY SHOULD END IN THE EVENING
AS SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR FILTERS IN. HIGHS ON WED SHOULD
RANGE FROM THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S, GRADUALLY COOLING TO JUST
THE 70S (WARMER WEST, COOLER WEST) BY FRIDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES WED
NIGHT SHOULD FALL INTO UPPER 50S/MID 60S, THEN MID 50S TO AROUND
60 BY THU NIGHT.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 PM CDT SAT OCT 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THRU THE PERIOD AT BOTH KHSV/KMSL.
E/SE WIND GUSTS UP TO 15KTS WILL SUBSIDE AROUND SUNSET FOR KHSV
BUT WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR KMSL THRU THE PERIOD.
HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
NEAR TERM...12
SHORT TERM....12
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...12
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